Tyrone Data Recovery – Tyrone, Pennsylvania Hard Drive ...
Tyronesystems - Storage Solutions, High Performance ...
Tyrone Power’s daughter says ‘30s Hollywood idol was a ...
Data Industry – Tyrone Fabrication
Tyrone Fabrication’s data centres are composed of networked computers and storage that businesses other organisations use to organise, process, store and disseminate large amounts of data. Companies typically rely heavily upon the applications, services and data contained within the data centres, making it a focal point and critical asset for ... In 2017, Tyrone, PA had a population of 5.32k people with a median age of 38.4 and a median household income of $40,785. Between 2016 and 2017 the population of Tyrone, PA declined from 5,382 to 5,320, a -1.15% decrease and its median household income declined from $40,993 to $40,785, a -0.507% decrease. Census data for Tyrone, PA (pop. 5,281), including age, race, sex, income, poverty, marital status, education and more. Tyrone Power’s daughter Taryn Power still has vivid memories of the classic Hollywood idol nearly 62 years after his death. “I have this memory of hanging on his back in the swimming pool ... Tyrone offers end-to-end data center computing solutions that enable you address all these parameters in a cost effective manner.Tyrone partners with industry leaders like SuperMicro, NVidia, Intel, and VMWare, to name a few to offer data center computing solutions that combine simplicity, energy efficiency, investment protection, data ... If you have lost data on your computer, please do not be reluctant to call The Data Recovery Geeks at . 888-560-4290 to let our data recovery staff go to work for you. How Can We Assist Tyrone, PA Customers? The staff at our data recovery business in Tyrone, Pennsylvania refuses to lose when it comes to retrieving lost data on virtually any system.
Post got removed because automods thought == spamm..ISN"T ALL COPYPASTA a form of spam?
2020.09.27 06:10 Leadership_SuchPost got removed because automods thought == spamm..ISN"T ALL COPYPASTA a form of spam?
I just want to chime in on freedom-of-speech and privacy wingnats' gaslighting of people. Following is an excerpt in response to a post defending a female analyzing the porn search history of her boyfriend. The user, u/boywithumbrella ademently defended allowing her BF to search for cringey bimbos on the coomtube without corrective action, because "it's only his business what he does with his genitals" Fair enough. Original post in response to a libertarian grifter: FFW to an alternate reality wherein u/boywithumbrella has finally gotten himself/herself an SO. In 3 months of whirlwind romance, your SO suddenly takes longer to reply to texts, finally saying they "need their space". You oblige, being hte savvy "inDiVidUaLisT" "FrEeDoM" and "LiBeRaTaRdIan" that you were groomed to be! Leaving her alone for some time, you decide you will surprise your GF with some flowers and soylattes. You spend dozens of hours putting together hte perfect bouquete and spend dozens of $ on fancy whatevers for your SO. A gentleman such as yourself woudl NEVER snoop around his/her own SO's behavior, much less google what she is up to! she must be busy, so you just leave her be. of course 3 weeks go by and you start sneaking into her apartment to stalk i mean "surprise" your SO. It has been 4 weeks since you last heard from her seriously and you want to, while "ReSpeCtInG HEr BaouNDaRieS aS an INDiVIDuaL LiBeRatian" want to check out why she's feeling distant .You of course sneak into her apartment because when I go through my boyfriend's browser it's a war but when you, mental gymnastics and the like, sneak into your gf's bedroom, well, it's not "a ThrEat O LitBearaL SocIty" you're just "seeing if she's ok" since she has slowly faded out of your phone (women would tell you when they're unhappy though, so she's clearly NOT breaking up right?) She is engaging a horizontal wiggle with at least 4 Tyrones and 3 pasty white guys,. Tyrones pound her face and ass. You stand in the doorway for a second when 1 of the guys locks eyes with you, licks his lips, and shouts "you next, gayboi!" A scream lets out from your "fiancE's" direction
" u/boywithumbrella...What the FUCK are you doing here?" your gf screams with fury and disgust. "WHY ARE YOU STANDING THERE? GET THE FUCK OUT YOU FA&OTT!" She finally finishes in her vagina, steamy white pumps of black semen spreading through your GF's body, as she groans with ecstasy "OHHH, baby you're SOOOO MUCH STRONGER THAN u/boywithumbrellahis Umbrella isn't even 4 inches!!!!" you start peeing yourself. u/boywithumbrella; "Mah...Mah principles are to not ConTroL what an SO does..." "GET. THE FUCK. OUT!" "That's right, bitch you heard the lady!"
you slowly start to walk towards the group of 3 giant guys and your still-writhing fiance, who is begging a 3rd guy to fuck her. You spread out your arms. "h--h...here honey...I b-b-bought you some flowers! and books by Ted Cruze, Ben Shapiro, and Sen. Ron Paul!" "More like RU PAUL! cum beat my face, Stryrone daddy come!" she flips around to get cucked by more guys, but first she stands up to fist you in the pooper as you whinney about how "I don't want to ConTrol a Woman! that would be an infringement on your freedom!" you break out your server on your phone, summoning the famous god of Eternal DataPrivacy, Sir Edward Snowden. in a blast of shimmering white argent, the floor and the ceiling split in two as a tower of blinding light forms through it. Edward Snowden steps forth, blinding all the he room as he has not set foot outside his Moscow bunker in 6 years.
"I am edward Snowden. I fear you, u / boywithumbrella, hath fouled thine own commitment to radical individualism, letting people ruin their lives so that they can get their cocks wet whenever they want, and Freedom"
The beam of white light turns blood-red, then black as Snowden removes a blood-stained gauntlet made entirely from linux wireless modems to brain you with. "Now thou shalt pay!make a voluntary donation of your choosing to the Electronic Frontier Foundation which gives open-source security APIs, so long as you can connect to our blocknet servers, please with your life!" Your blood boils, but your GOrl Friend's bangbois begin stuffing fifty-five cumulative feet of cock down her throat as they glance between fucks at your demise; The arch angel Snow den raises the silvery modem up above your head.
"For trying to control what your SO does with her privateparts, YOU WILL PAY. FEEL NOW THE WRATH OF hrgnbhg!"
suddenly a group of spec ops burst through the windows and from underneath the throw rugs (they were waiting for Round 3 with your gorlfrend) and grab the arch demon and thrust his pasty caucasian body into a body bag, Storming off from whence they came. YOu still hear the screams of snowden as he declares
"don't deliver me to the fed! I thought this was an ecuadorian address!! Data privacy! NOOOO"
you just killed edward snowden. You got a free dial up modem though dang"
2020.09.18 05:19 KEXO9Good news everyone! I've finally built a statistically successful fight predictor
Colby Covington vs Tyron Woodley
Cowboy vs Niko Price
Khamzat Chimaev vs GM3
Johnny Walker vs Ryan Spann
Mackenzie Dern vs Randa Markos
Kevin Holland vs Darren Stewart
Mayra Silva vs Mara Borella
The fights not included here did not have enough data readily available to run a successful projection. I've painstakingly back tested this system on every title fight since 2014 where the favoured fighter (according to this model) has won 78% of those fights (bookies favourite wins 67%). So I'm quietly confident in the calibration. Henry Cejudo and TJ Dillashaw notably broke the system which would have tested over 80% accuracy however it predicted none of Cejudos title victories and predicted TJ would lose to Cody but beat Cejudo. I haven't found a way to account for Cejudo without breaking it for other predictions (damn it Triple C!!). I'll keep working on that. If you're looking at these predictions thinking all these low 50% predictions are useless.. kind of, yes. But I've included the probability % as a reminder nothing is for sure in MMA, no matter how confident we are XYZ fighter is a bum statistically they still win fights they have no business winning somehow. For perspective on the given % for each fight, Khamzat's % is about as high as this model will predict for any fight you're likely to see from 2 UFC calibre fighters.
2020.08.14 20:48 AllDatDaltonThe Case for SPY ATH: analysis based on FED liquidity patterns
*This is long. If you don’t like long shit don’t read it. Or just read the positions. Bitching about length in a DD you voluntarily read is 🤡 Shit. * So, if you want a little more on the Fed Repo schedule, pumps, so on and so forth, I'd recommend taking a look at my old writeups on Fed Repo schedules, liquidity, and the like. OneTwoThree The accuracy on SPY calls with those was something crazy, like 90%, but you could also argue that SPY goes up nearly everyday anyway. Regardless, there is some good background there to chew on. —— I typically watch the Fed Repo schedule closely (I'm on the e-mail notification list, you can sign up here) and noticed two things recently, for context: 1) Nearly each rollover day—meaning the day of the month when an old schedule ends and a new schedule begins—has been positive for SPY not just since COVID, but since increased Repo operations began late last year. Today is a rollover day, FYI (More on that here, it was the pump before the pump) 2) FED Repo bids haven’t been accepted at all recently--what's of particular importance is that it has coincided with a rise in interest charged by the Fed. About two months ago, these short term loans were offered at 0% interest, meaning it was literally free money. Since late June, though, they've been charging 5 pts over IOER and 10 pts over on the overnight and the term offerings, respectively. *SO WHAT? * However, midway through last week I noticed 8 folks take offers on the overnight, an increase from the typical zero/ sometimes one. Then, yesterday, we hit the motherload--*24 bids offered and accepted on short term overnight repo loans. * Those are numbers not seen since the face ripping SPY days of May, when we printed and giggled away the lazy days of Spring as summer was still but a whisper and a promise. https://i.imgur.com/h5sXDjY.jpg ”What does this mean you fucking nerd? Should I YOLO on 0DTE SPY calls or not?!” This liquidity increae seems bullish on it's face, but it's important to think critically and not get overly excited. We have to ask ourselves—do banks want the money or do banks need the money. ** There is a very important difference, as one is obviously bullish and one is obviously bearish. To answer this critical question, I strapped on my helmet and hopped into my **’Tism Time Machine to go back and look at two recent periods I that would illuminate some shit for you degenerates: 1) Case 1: the riots and liquidity The first stop in my 'Tism Time Machine was Minnesota circa May 26th, the beginnings of the riots. Consider this a "stress test" of sorts; billions in nationwide damage, political upheaval, steadily rising COVID numbers, and, most damning, a recent Lil Yachty Album release. *SPY was green as grass during this period- jumping 6.4% in the week period of May 26- June 1. * Why? How could this happen? As a Tyrone I was disappointed, but as an "investor" I was thrilled. What could explain this disconnect between market and reality? Liquidity my dude, liquidity. Over 20 Repo bids were accepted daily in those halcyon days of fire and greed. Banks were taking billions in overnight Repo swaps to bolster their liquidity. In this case, it would seem, liquidity was more powerful than any external factor. The data from this time proved it 2) Case 2: The flash crash and liquidity—water for bears I hear you, frustrated bear. " But what about June 10th, DUR WUZ A CRASH RAWWWR!!" Child, please. Eat some honey and comb yo' beard while I break some shit down that may tickle your pickle. Yes, liquidity was at a fever pitch on Repo bids when the crash hit. https://i.imgur.com/9hwx7Mt.jpg This does present a valid bearish case, that case being that influxes of liquidity in the Repo Market could indicate a need for support, and are indicative of coming potential for a crash rather than a sign of health. After the crash, SPY faltered for a while, because according to data from that day onward, the enhanced liquidity that preceded the crash leads to subsequent decreased liquidity--after this happened the repo bids, contrary to logic, decreased significantly rather than increasing. Sure, banks kept taking some money to stabilize, and there were little pops over the next week, but over the course of the resulting few weeks bids dropped dramatically overall, and it took SPY a full MONTH to recover to June 9th levels (~317). It would seem that as the interest rates rose and the economy was stumbling, they would rather let it deflate than continue take out high interest rates loans. A reasonabke liquidity may have led to the crash, at a certain point: Of notable importance--the maturity terms of the long dated term repos (the additional loans on the repo sheet I linked which have longer maturity dates, typically Tuesdays), piled up and contributed to the wipeout. On top of overnight swaps, they were taking term loans of increased interest. Once they matured, banks couldn’t continue to add high interest loan debt for market use to their balance sheets, particularly swap loans a month to maturity for a market that is on precarious footing.. **So, I’ve presented equally valid arguments for bulls and bears, why am I bullish? Especially with obstacles like the stimulus? ** Data driven conclusions: first I’ll highlight my argument based on the time travel findings 1) Continued liquidity is generally a good thing stronger than problematizing market grenades, as was shown. It was able to propel markets in the face of COVID's continued rise, as well as during full blown RIOTS. *2) We are ONLY at the beginings of a liqiuidity fever pitch, not the inflection point from June 10th: *the borrowing is just now ramping up. The 24 accepted bids yesteday were for like 13 million dollars. By comparison, during the heights of May this was at closer to 13 billion. We don't need that much now, comparatively, but it's still got a ways to even be close to adjusted equivalency. 3) Term repo maturity debt isn’t a problem yet: banks still haven't been taking the Tuesday one month term repo offers, which are still generally sitting at 0 bids a week. I don't think that contributor to the flash crash is a factor, and they still have balance sheet room to borrow against the economic hit of the Stimulus failure. Secondly, based on external factors *1) Chinatalksgoingwell.exe will likely help to nullify the Stimulus blowback. * We are meeting with China tomorrow, and the tough talk around trade has withered given both economies are in precarious positons--the US with the stimulus and China with scrutiny on both it's international social media businesses and Huawei. I'm looking for a rosy painting to come out over the weekend, culminating in China acknowledging it will fullfill the phase 1 trade agreement (it's super behind on deliverables, this would be a major boost to OIL and yes, staples like FUCKING CORN ugh). 2) Sectors hit hardest by COVID are rebounding with the economic numbers to prove it: look at recent estimate beats on retail, manufacturing, etc. Not just here but worldwide. THE SECTOR ROTATION INTO DOW IS REAL because of this. S&P will continue to see itself a little shaky some days due to tech, but as some industrial sectors come back it will provide a boost to SPY and the overall market. You may get some pops, but I'd sincerely advise staying away from QQQ. Tech valuations are fucking crazy and you know it. Those profits are now going to move into industrials, financials, and similar as MMs and retail shop for the next deal on a beatdown stock (BA far dated slightly OTM and LEAPS, for example, will print). *3) Stimulus ‘rabbit out the hat’ coming in early September: *just as the fever pitch of loans and repo swaps and liquidity reaches a din, Congress will be back in a few weeks and either a) DT's Executive Order will have gone through and peoplle will have more money for consumer spending or b) Pelosi and WH will magically make a deal so everybody can get re-elected 4) Legit vaccine pumps incoming: AZN MRNA INO and others bout to seriously pump us up--particularly industrials--on this Phase 3 release hype shit coming at that ass. WOW this is ALOT of info. HOW ABOUT A TLDR LMAO CALLS OR PUTS MAN?! TLDR: Liquidity has been the single most important factor in the market turnaround, with the FED's policies allowing us to survive COVID, COVID resurgence, riots, and a failed stimulus in order to print. Banks are accepting the liquidity again, which they weren't before; importantly they are accepting the RIGHT KIND, so far they’ve been sticking to overnight swaps and not biting on term repos. This is great until it's not--once term operations become accepted and banks are borrowing longer maturity dates at high rates, we will deflate. But we are not close yet, and should be good for at least another couple weeks. Positions: SPY 8/28 340c SPY 9/18 342c BA 9/18 200c UDOW 8/21 78c (risky, don't advise lol) Hedge: VXX 8/28 26c (it's gonna print some day before then probably, but don't hold overnight cuz leg down ain't coming, boi.) I generally try to update here, but it quickly becomes a mess and people complain so then I post quick moves to my Twitter which is miltdavis too. (Mods this is not self promotion, I gain nothing. Just trying to help people who read DD here. There is no good update template that gives notifications on here, and people bitch at me). I will try to answer all comments here, and feel free to shoot me PM’s. .
2020.07.31 02:14 gds519With the release of the 10th Annual NFL Top 100 Players, I have compiled all 10 lists to create a Top 100 Players of the Decade
The NFL has released the 10th edition of its annual Top 100 Players list, and since each list focuses on each player's accomplishment in the previous season, I thought it would be interesting to create a list to see which players made the greatest impact over the course of the decade, at least in the eyes of their peers voting on these lists. To create this list and rank these players, I went through each Top 100 list and assigned players points based on their rankings, 100 points for #1 all the way to 1 point for #100. The table showing the Top 100 players is shown below, and the full spreadsheet with all 398 players who have made at least one Top 100 list is at this link: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_XKyUe2FNzoJvwNGcZMq3XMMId8arPfb0nILuPWE__w/edit?usp=sharing The ranking each player received in a particular list are displayed in each year's column, with the total points accumulated shown in the "Points" column. The "1st Half" and "2nd Half" columns are how many points the player accumulated in each half of the decade, essentially, points from 2011-2015 lists and 2016-2020 lists, respectively. "Count" refers to the number of lists that player made, and "Peak" indicates the highest rank that player received on any list. Since the list takes into account seasons from 2010 to 2019 equally, some players who were some of the best in the game may not rank as high as they would on another All-Decade list (e.g. Peyton Manning, Calvin Johnson) because they haven't been in the league for the last few years. Conversely, generational talents we have seen rise recently (e.g. Patrick Mahomes) may see low rankings that may not fully encapsulate their impact on the NFL in their short careers so far. Some quick interesting stats: Unsurprisingly, Tom Brady takes home the #1 spot, having been ranked first three times, and never ranked outside the top 6 until 2020. Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees finish as the clear #2 and #3, with Von Miller ranking as the highest non-QB at #4. Russell Wilson, Julio Jones, Larry Fitzgerald, Ben Roethlisberger, J.J. Watt, and Patrick Peterson round out our top 10. Brady, Rodgers, Brees, and Fitzgerald were the only players to land on all 10 lists, and each player making the composite Top 100 appeared on at least two lists and was ranked in the Top 50 in at least one year. Overall #1 Brady also leads the field in points from both halves of the decade, but Julio Jones and Aaron Donald are close behind in second half points thanks to great performances over the last five seasons. Lamar Jackson is the only player to receive a #1 ranking (on the 2020 list) and not appear in the composite Top 100, mainly because 2020 makes his debut Top 100 appearance. Data from https://www.pro-football-reference.com/
Odell Beckham Jr.
Edit: Changed the Table to make everything a little more readable in this format. All the data is still in the Google sheet.
2020.07.27 21:05 saijanaiAre there legitimate research fields that CANNOT have a "double-blind" expeirment done? I'm being told that unless double blind experiments are done, something is pseudoscience, period.
The money quote: Me: "Double-blind research on meditation is impossible as I have already pointed out to you. [note that I told the person quoted that I was going to do this] u/tyrone_korzeniowski Then it will forever be relegated to pseudoscience. . My assertion is that you CANNOT present someone with a "faux meditation" because people know whether or not they are meditating, and every consistent mental activity has a consistent effect, so for someone, somewhere, any practice you can devise will be called "meditation" by someone. . Instead, you use active placebo designs, as used in this study, where 3 separate meditation practices were compared to a passive control group, with 2 out of 3 serving as active placebos for the third, and control for and test for expectations. Transcendental Meditation, Mindfulness, and Longevity: An Experimental Study With the Elderly . All teachers were required to wear professional attire, work with professionally done graphs and charts in their presentation derived from actual research on their preferred meditation practice, and all data collection was done by blinded Harvard graduate students. Each meditation practice had its own rsearcher-advocate who helped design the study, which was formalized by consensus. There was no "active placebo" in the eyes of the group: the study was done to establish whether or not the practices were as effective/more effective with no bias towards a specific practice. The lead author was an advocate of TM, who was stationed at a school in Iowa. The subjects were randomly selected from rest homes near Harvard University. Data collection was done by blinded Harvard graduate students. [note that each practice studied had its own researcher-advocate, who was the only one allowed to interact with the teachers of the practice he/she was in charge of in order to avoid an "nocebo" effects from the teacher interacting with a skeptical researcher (not incuded in description, but was told this tidbit over lunch with the lead author)] . Another possible design where researchers compensate for lack of control group is this non-inferiority study comparing the effects of TM and Prolonged Exposure Therapy on PTSD. While it would have been better to including an arm for another meditation practice, no mindfulness research agreed to participate: Non-trauma-focused meditation versus exposure therapy in veterans with post-traumatic stress disorder: a randomised controlled trial . A less strong design is to compare meditation with treatment as usual ala this study: Integration of Transcendental Meditation® (TM) into alcohol use disorder (AUD) treatment . The weakest of all such studies is simply comparing TM to "no treatment." One needs to use meta-analysis to compare it to another meditation practice, but that's an established process. The largest such study hasn't been published yet, and was apparently curtained due to COVID-19 issues in public schools, but this intermediate finding is of note: "'So far, students trained in transcendental meditation have violent crime arrest rates about 65% to 70% lower than their peers and have reduced blood pressure,' he [Jonathan Guryan, faculty co-director of the University of Chicago’s education lab] said" . The homerooms rather than idividual students were randomly assigned to TM or simply staying silent for 15 minutes, twice-daily. The control group was allowed to do any school allowable non-talking activity for those periods: other meditation, prayer, reading, studying, drawing... anything but talking. Obviously another arm for "other meditation" could have been added in, but the researchers at teh Urban Lab at the University of CHicago chose not to do so. . The OP [u/tyrone_korzeniowski] insists that double-blind defines science vs pseudoscience, so I thought I'd ask folk with no dog in the fight (I'm a TM advocate [co-moderator of /transcendental], and he's promoting a new book denouncing TM as pseudoscience) to throw peanuts. . . The original thread: https://www.reddit.com/transcendental/comments/hy90wm/list_of_topics_characterized_as_pseudoscience/ . Cheers.
2020.07.25 15:52 KatsuneowoMy cousin and I's minecraft world was corrupted.
We have worked on this Bedrock world for about 1and a half years now. Ever since I got minecraft. It was called project 1. Heres a list of builds we made and things we did in that world. Keep in mind this is the only minecraft world I was dedicated to. •Our bases; mine a cave with decor; his a fairly large oak house. •A creeper farm which took quite a while and caused many, MANY deaths. • a fully fledged ranch/farm with a huge and very detailed barn house. • Our industrial district with farms and so,so many villagers. • A nether hub. • A WIP tall wizard tower, library and everything. • Defeated dragon and wither (our first times) • Got full diamond/netherite. Since the nether update just came out we did this reasonably quickly. • Made many friends. Our pets, of course. RIP; Tyrone, Jamie, Blobby, Globby, Mr Lavender, Lady Lavender, and Mending Jeremy. Not forgetting my secret slimes, Mlem and Blep. • Got elytras and went end raiding for the first time. • Did a lot of other things such as got the rarest achievements. It was his world and we made two copies, one recent. he had said his Xbox had turned off when loading it- and when he loaded in again it had stated: Data has been corrupted. does anyone know why it had done this and how we can get it back???? Please. I had suggested that we build our things in creative and turn it to creative, but we don't, unfortunately, have the seed. Please help. Press f to pay respects
2020.07.17 15:02 grigoritheoctopusGravity's Rainbow Group Read Sections 22-25 Week 7
Slothrop's Hawaiian Shirt by Zak Smith (2006). I just want to begin by thanking u/Bloomsdayclock for coordinating this endeavor, for all of the previous posts thus far, and for the enthusiastic interaction and scholarship that’s been happening in the comments for each post. This group read has rekindled my love for this book and is helping me understand it in so many different ways and in such greater depth that it's honestly like I’m reading a different book at this point. Also, kudos to each previous poster for creating a coherent post! The book is complex enough on its own but once you start going down the rabbit hole, sussing out the references, reading through some of the scholarship, etc., I almost found myself paralyzed by information overload (kinda feeling a bit like Charlie Kelly trying to figure out who “Pepe Silvia” is :) ). When this reading group started, I was like, “damn, I’m trying to read this insanely complex novel and the group posts are just as long, dense, and complex” and now I’ve gone and written some super long and dense post, too. To paraphrase either Blaise Pascal or Mark Twain (or Woodrow Wilson or apparently a rather large number of dead white guys from history): I would have written a shorter post if I’d had the time! Apologies in advance! Anyways, this post will (attempt to) cover the start of the second section of the novel, Un Perm’ au Casino Hermann Goering. The events that transpire are zany and sinister, titillating and deeply sad. There is a mix of images both gorgeous and disgusting and much of the planning and plotting that took place at “The White Visitation” during the first section are starting to come to fruition in part deux. For each “Episode”, I will provide a general summary of the “action” and then some commentary and we’ll finish this post up with a few discussion questions. Let’s begin! Episode 22 Summary Slothrop is on furlough/leave at a casino in Monaco (from what I’ve read...I thought it was France before, still not completely sure) that’s been renamed in honor of the big fat slob that led Hitler’s air force during the war. He’s in paradise but wakes up “...[waiting] for a sudden noise to begin his day, a first rocket” (p. 181). His friend Tantivy Mucker-Maffick and a somewhat suspicious friend of his, Teddy Bloat (“[there’s] something about the way he talks to Slothrop, patronizing? Maybe nervous…” (p. 182)), are staying down the hall. They’re talking about meeting some girls but, as the first song of the section reminds us, Englishmen can be very shy. Slothrop is happy to help his “buddies” out, but tells them not to “expect [him] to put it in for [them]” (p. 183). Classic Slothrop! Slothrop decides to wear a hideous (or amazing, depending on your sensibilities) genuine Hawaiian shirt that he received from his brother Hogan in the Pacific. The shirt seems to emit a glow (once he steps into the sun, it “blazes into a refulgent life of its own” (!) (p. 184), so Tantivy, “friend” that he is, tries to convince Slothrop to cover it up with scratchy Savile Row coat. The trio hit the beach and the ladies are on them already. They’ve got food and booze and are ready for a nice day on the beach. The morning seems too good even for a bit of the “early paranoia”. And then Bloat ruins everything by drawing Slothrop’s attention to the woman down the beach being attacked by “the biggest fucking octopus Slothrop has ever seen outside of the movies”. Slothrop rushes off to intervene and, left without recourse, starts trying to bash the cephalopod on the head with a wine bottle to no avail. Thankfully, Bloat just happens to have a big, tasty crab on his person, which he tosses to Slothrop with the advice, “It’s hungry, it’ll go for the crab. Don’t kill it, Slothrop.” Slothrop uses the crab to bait away the animal from its current prey, noticing that it does not seem to be in good mental health. He eventually tosses the crab, like a discus, into the sea, and the octopus follows. The damsel has been saved, Slothrop is championed as a brave hero and his first thought is where in the fuck did that crab come from. The exchange: “Tantivy smiles and flips a small salute. “Good show!” cheers Teddy Bloat. “I wouldn’t have wanted to try that myself!” “Why not? You had that crab. Saaay-where’d you get that crab?” “Found it,” replies Bloat with a straight face. Slothrop stares at this bird but can’t get eye contact. What th’ fuck is going on?” (p. 187). The damsel thanks Slothrop. Her ID bracelet identifies her as Katje Borgesius. Slothrop feels like he knows her and “...voices begin to take on a touch of metal, each word a hard-edged clap, and the light, though as bright as before, is less able to illuminate….it’s a Puritan reflex of seeking other orders behind the visible, also known as paranoia, filtering in…” (p. 188). How does Slothrop deal with this? By dividing up his present company into a dichotomy: the increasingly drunk Tantivy, “a messenger from Slothrop’s innocent, pre-octopus past” flirting with the girls and Bloat, “perfectly sober, mustache unruffled, regulation uniform [on the fucking beach!], watching [him] closely” (p. 188). And then there’s Katje, who, with her glance, makes Slothrop think she knows something (what?), asking him “Did you know all the time about the octopus? I thought so because it was so like a dance-all of you” (p. 188). Well, fuck me! Katje then tells “Little Tyrone” to be “very careful” and that “Perhaps, after all, we were meant to meet…” (p. 189). Now that’s a “meet cute” for ya! Commentary/Questions
Is the casino fully owned and controlled by Them at this point (is César Flebótomo (Spanish for “sandfly”) a(n) (un)willing patsy in Their employ?). Is it the “lab” for this “phase” of the Slothrop experiment. Or is it just secured enough to ensure the results of the experiment aren’t tainted by some unforeseen variable/interference?
Teddy Bloat seems like a purposeful pun in reference to the bureaucracy of government/intel agencies
Songs are one way that Pynchon fills his book with “the language of the preterite”, a term from Weisenburger used to describe the “slang, underworld cant, songs, games, folk-genres, and material culture” used by Pynchon to pit “open, unsanctioned, and “low” languages” against the “closed, orthodox, privileged language of a culture”. This idea is expanded on by literary critic/philosopher Mikhail Bakhtin who notes that the “heteroglossic” aspect of novels allows them to be radical, open-ended artworks filled with a variety of voices that each embody a particular time and place (his term for this idea is a “chronotope”).
The whole episode is just soaked in paranoia, from beginning to end. Whatever Slothrop thought he thought he was feeling in Section 1 has been taken up a notch. He senses a plot but keeps playing along.
Is “Borgesius” a tribute to J.L. Borges?
“Little Tyrone” echoes “Baby Tyrone” from Jamf’s experiments and maybe is supposed to make us realize that while the antics in this episode could possibly be construed as a “loss” of Slothrop’s “innocence” that was actually taken from him as a baby.
Episode 23 Summary Dr. Porkyevitch (“Porky the pig”?) and “Grisha” (“[frisking] happily in his special enclosure”) stare back at the “blazing bijou” of the Casino from their ship, contemplating their future now that they may no longer be of use to Pointsman, yearning for traces of the Russia they’ve been exiled from. To the casino: Katje is a vision in shades of green and is escorted by a two-star general and a brigadier. Is it Pudding? RHIP :) Slothrop and Tantivy in the dining room. Slothrop raises the “The Ballad of Tantivy Mucker-Maffic” to get the room singing of his friend’s drunken exploits so that he can speak to Katje who uses the cacophony to invite him to her room after midnight! Slothrop then probes his buddy to see if he notices anything funny going on. Tantivy brushes him off a bit (“there’s always, you know, an element of Slothropian paranoia to contend with…”(p. 192)) but then concedes that the bastard Bloat is receiving coded messages. Ha! And it turns out Bloat has become a bit of a different man over the last few years, something more than being “Blitz rattled”. He’s also warned Tantivy away from Katje (“I’d stay clear of that one if I were you” (p. 193)) and Tantivy feels used by Bloat (“being tolerated for as long as he can use me” (p. 193)). The encounter ends with Tantivy telling Slothrop to be careful and, should he need help, he’ll be there for him. At midnight, Slothrop leaves for his rendezvous with Ms. Borgesius, “ascending flights of red-carpeted stairway (Welcome Mister Slothrop Welcome To Our Structure We Hope You Will Enjoy Your Visit Here)” (p. 194). Arriving, he teases her about her date at dinner and then about their slightly sinister “meet cute” while examining her closet which is absolutely filled to the brim with a variety of outfits. The “Too Soon To Know (Fox-Trot)” before they get down to it. As he is undressing her, he notices “...the moonlight only whitens her back, and there is a still a dark side, her ventral side, her face, than he can no longer see, a terrible beastlike change coming over muzzle and lower jaw, black pupils growing to cover the entire eye space till whites are gone and there’s only the red animal reflection when the light comes to strike no telling when the light-” (p. 196). Yikes! As they fuck, she wonders if his “careful technique” is for her or “wired into the Slothropian Run-together they briefed her on”. Either way, “she will move him, she will not be mounted by a plastic shell” (p. 196-197). Then, a slapstick fight with a seltzer bottle (planted by Them?) that has Slothrop looking for a banana cream pie to toss (classic!) after which they fall asleep, lying like two Ss. In the morning, their post-coital bliss is interrupted as Little Tyrone is rudely awakened by the sound of someone robbing his pants in the room next door. He chases after the thief, first naked, then dressed in a purple satin bedsheet. As he’s chasing, from way down the hallway, “a tiny head appears around a corner, a tiny hand comes out and gives Slothrop the tiny finger” (p. 199). Haha! He chases the thief up a tree only to have the tree cut down while he’s in it. The thief escapes and Bloat and some general find Slothrop a mess. Bloat takes Slothrop to his room where, “every stitch of clothing he owns is gone, including his Hawaiian shirt. What the fuck. Groaning, he rummages in the desk. Empty. Closets empty. Leave papers, ID, everything, taken… Hogan’s shirt bothers him most of all” (p. 201). Nobody knows where Tantivy’s gone off to. Bloat gives Slothrop a uniform (“a piece of Whitehall on the Riviera” (p. 201)) which doesn’t fit but the book advises, “Live wi’ the way it feels mate, you’ll be in it for a while” (p. 201). Slothrop ponders the meaning of the architecture and design of his surrounds, but “shortly, unpleasantly so, it will come to him that everything in this room [The Himmer-Spielsaal, no less] is being used from something different. Meaning things to Them it has never meant to us. Never. Two orders of being, looking identical….but, but….” (p. 202). THE WORLD OVER THERE. Against this realization Slothrop issues the only spell he knows, a defiant “Fuck You”. Walking, rainstorm, entertainment at the casino, no one has seen the dancing girls from the drunken breakfast, Slothrop is “finding only strangers where he looks” before freaking out in the casino, then getting wet in the rain, then returning to Katje, the only place he knew to come. Commentary
I love “The Ballad of Tantivy Mucker-Maffic” and would like to write a similar tune about the inebriated shenanigans committed by my best friend and I during college.
The bit about Oxford and Harvard not really existing to educate was a nice touch (p. 193)
“Snazzy” is an “Americanism” in the 40s! (p. 195).
Slothrop ponders an impending loss of innocence (but, again, it seems like that has already happened). He has nothing and no one in a foreign country and the sensation that his life is being purposefully, possibly nefariously influenced by forces he can vaguely perceive. “It’s here that saturation hits him, it’s all this playing games, too much of it, too many games: the nasal, obsessive voice of a croupier he can’t see...is suddenly speaking out of the Forbidden Wing directly to him, and about what Slothrop has been playing against the invisible House, perhaps after all for his soul, all day - terrified, he turns, turns out into the rain again where the electric lights of the Casino, in full holocaust, are glaring off the glazed cobbles.” And then, “How did this all turn against him so fast? His friends old and new, every last bit of paper and clothing connecting him to what he’s been, have just, fucking, vanished. How can he meet this with any kind of grace?” (p. 205)
The word “holocaust” is used quite a bit in this story
Setting this all in the casino is a nice touch: there is the illusion of chance and luck in a casino but the house always wins.
The juxtaposition of the comic (seltzer fight) with the tragic (Slothrop alone, trying to understand what’s happening) heightens both effects.
Episode 24 Summary They wake up with Katje calling slothrop a pig, which responds to by oinking. At breakfast, he is taking a refresher course in technical German and learning about The Rocket. His tutor, Sir Stephen Dodson-Truck (who speaks 33 languages!) aiding his understanding of German circuit schematics by way of ancient German runes. Slothrop understands immediately that Dodson-Truck is in on the plot but not sure how (“There are times when Slothrop can actually find a clutch mechanism between him and Their iron-cased engine far away up a power train whose shape and design he has to guess at, a clutch he can disengage, feeling then all his inertia of motion, his real helplessness… it is not exactly unpleasant, either. Odd thing. He is almost sure that whatever They want, it won’t mean risking his life, or even too much of his comfort. But he can’t fit any of it into a pattern, there’s no way to connect somebody like Dodson-Truck with somebody like Katje…. The real enemy’s somewhere back in that London anyways” (p. 207). Back in the Himmler-Spielsaal: “in the twisted gilt playing-room his secret motions clarify for him, some. The odds They played here belonged to the past, the past only. Their odds were never probabilities, but frequencies already observed. It’s the past that makes demands here. It whispers, and reaches after, and sneering disagreeably, gooses its victims. When they choose numbers, red, black, odd, even, what did They mean it? What Wheel did They set in motion? Back in a room, early in Slothrop’s life, a room forbidden to him now, is something very bad. Something was done to him and it may be that Katje knows what. Hasn’t he, in her “futureless look,” found some link to his own past, something that connects them closely as lovers?” (p. 208-209). “It is a curve each of them feels, unmistakably. It is the parabola.” No more news from London or Achtung. Bloat is gone now, too. Sir Stephen and Katje with their identical Corporate Smiles to dazzle him while they rob his identity. But! “He lets it happen” (p. 210). Slothrop is getting hardons after his rocket study sessions and then goes looking for relief with Katje. Sir Stephen appears to be timing these erections! So, Slothrop gets the smart idea to get him drunk via a drinking game and many, many people end up getting sloshed on some high class bubbly. Half the room is singing the “Vulgar Song”. Slothrop and Sir Steve get pretty hammered and start walking through a nice sunset, where Slothrop sees robed figures, hundreds of miles tall, on the horizon. Sir Stephen informs Slothrop that he’s got “potency issues” (which makes him the perfect observer for Slothrop’s sexual misadventures… “no nasty jissom getting all over their reports, you know” (p. 216)). He’s about to tell Slothrop the secret of “The Penis He Thought Was His Own”... ...but then starts waxing nostalgic about Sir Stephen’s son and his wife, Nora and her “Ideology of the Zero”. An interlude with Eventyr, Sachsa, Leni… “but where will Leni be now? Either we didn’t mean to lose her - either it was an ellipsis in our care, in what some of us even swear is our love, or someone has taken her, deliberately, for reasons being kept secret, and Sachsa’s death is part of it too” (p. 218). More on Sachsa’s death. Then, Sir Stephen vanishes (“but not before telling Slothrop that his erections of high interest to Fitzmaurice House”). Katje is pissed that Slothy got Sir Steve drunk enough to dish on the plot. They fight and then fuck. More rocket study sessions. The rocket taking off looks like a peacock, def pfau. Slothrop pressing for more information, Katje rebuffing, warning/advising“Oh, Slothrop… You don’t want me. What they’re after may, but you don’t. No more than A4 wants London. But I don’t think they know...about other selves...yours or the Rocket’s. No more than you do. If you can’t understand it now, at least remember. That’s all I can do for you” (p. 224). Then, “They go back up to her room again: cock, cunt, the Monday rain at the windows” (p. 224) (Oh, Tom, you romantic!). And finally, a bit of kazoo music, a final night together, and Katje disappears, too. Commentary
Slothrop makes an important connection to his childhood and wonders if Katje knows about it/whether she’s with him because of it (ol’ Pynch even manages to work in the rocket, too!): “You were in London while they were coming down. I was in ‘s Gravenhage while they were going up. Between you and me is not only a rocket trajectory but also a life. You will come to understand that between the two points, in the five minutes, it lives an entire life. You haven’t even learned the data on our side of the flight profile, the visible or trackable. Beyond them there’s so much more, so much none of us know” (p. 209).
More on the import of setting the action in the Casino: “The Forbidden Wing. Oh, the hand of a terrible croupier is that touch on the sleeves of his dreams: all his life of what has looked free or random, is discovered to’ve been under some Control, all the time, the same as a fixed roulette wheel-where only destinations are important, attention is to long-term statistics, not individuals: and where the House does, of course, keep turning a profit…” (p. 209).
A beautiful passage: “‘Holy shit.” This is the kind of sunset you hardly see any more, a 19th-century wilderness sunset...this anachronism in primal red, in yellow purer than can be found anywhere today, a purity begging to be polluted...of course Empire took its way westward, what other way was there but into those virgin sunsets to penetrate and to foul” (p. 214). Always dualities in this book.
“A pornography of blueprints” (p. 224). is a nice turn of phrase.
Foreshadowing: “She has her hair combed high today in a pompadour, her fair eyebrows, plucked to wings, darkened, eyes rimmed in black, only the outboard few lashes missed and left blond.
Connection to Nabokov: I really do think “Signs and Symbols” influenced this novel. Lines like this, “Here it is again, that identical-looking Other World - is he gonna have this to worry about, now? What th’ - lookit these trees - each long frond hanging, stuny, dizzying, in laborious dry point against the sky, each so perfectly placed…” (p. 225) remind me so much of the atmosphere in the story (itself about paranoia (“referential mania”)). This is a key excerpt from the Nabokov ditty: “In these very rare cases the patient imagines that everything happening around him is a veiled reference to his personality and existence. He excludes real people from the conspiracy - because he considers himself to be so much more intelligent than other men. Phenomenal nature shadows him wherever he goes. Clouds in the staring sky transmit to one another, by means of slow signs, incredibly detailed information regarding him. His inmost thoughts are discussed at nightfall, in manual alphabet, by darkly gesticulating trees. Pebbles or stains or sun flecks form patterns representing in some awful way messages which he must intercept. Everything is a cipher and of everything he is the theme.” Obviously this guy is, uh, slightly more clinical, but I still think the atmosphere/tone is similar between the two.
Episode 25 Summary We begin this episode with a Pavlov lecture about the physiological symptoms of hysteria and one of Pointsman’s poems (which he never shows to anyone). Then to the “White Visitation” chaps (Pointsman, Grunton, Throwster, Groast) rumor-mongering about their future. Things are looking bleak. Pudding might cut off funding, “Slothrop’s knocked out Dodson-Truck and the girl in one day” (p. 227), and Sir Steven’s got the P.M.’s son-in-law making embarrassing inquiries. But Pointsman is calm. Very calm. In fact, “[b]y facing squarely the extinction of his program, he has gained a great bit of Wisdom: that if there is a life force operating in Nature, still there is nothing so analogous in bureaucracy. Nothing so mystical. It all comes down, as it must, to the desires of individual men. Oh, and women too, of course, bless their empty little heads. But survival depends on having strong enough desires - on knowing the System better than the other chap, and how to use it. It’s work, that’s all it is, and there’s no room for any extrahuman activities - they only weaken, effeminize the will: a man either indulges them, or fights to win, und so weiter” (p. 230). And then we find out that Pointman’s figured out how to play Pudding to keep his support (more on that in a bit…) as he’s figured out Treacle, Groast, and Throwster, how to use them and manipulate them to get what he wants. What a fucking devious guy! Webley Silvernail sticks around after the meeting and imagines the lab animals putting on a beguine performance of a song called “Pavlovia” (right after this realization by Silvernail: “From overhead, from a German camera-angle, it occurs to Webley Silvernail, this lab here is also a maze...but who watches from above, who notes their reponses?” (p. 229)). And it’s all song and dance for a bit but since it’s Pynchon, it’s followed by an incredible poignant/tragic moment of clarity: “They have had their moment of freedom. Webley has only been a guest start. Now it’s back to the cages and the rationalized forms of death-death in the service of the one species cursed with the knowledge that it will die…. “I would set you free, if I knew how. But it isn’t free out here. All the animals, the plants, the minerals, even other kinds of men, are being broken and reassembled every day, to preserve an elite few, who are the loudest to theorize on freedom, but the least free of all. I can’t even give you hope that it will be different someday - that They’ll come out, and forget death, and lose Their technology’s elaborate terror, and stop using every other form of life without mercy to keep what haunts men down to a tolerable level - and be like you instead, simply here, simply alive….” The guest star retires down the corridors” (p. 230). What a soliloquy. [Tangent: almost 50 years later, how prescient is this passage?! This little monologue filled me with so many conflicting emotions: hope (because humans like Pynchon exist to dream this stuff up) and also dread because this paragraph describes a fundamental aspect and egregious flaw (or flaws) in human nature. Reading and re-reading this passage depresses me a little (hence my question about mental health below). Now Pudding is sneaking about the bowels of “The White Visitation”. He heads past the cells of loonies on his way to a secret rendezvous. It seems like Pointsman may have drugged him at some point to get at hidden desires. We watch as our dear old Brigadier putters from room-to-room, finding items left for him by Pointsman that mock him and describe his descent into a personal hell (for info on the symbolism, the Weisenburger book is quite helpful). In the final room, Pudding drops to his knees at the feet of his Domina Nocturna (with “her blond hair...tucked and pinned beneath a thick black wig”... “naked except for a long sable cape and black boots with court heels” (p. 233)). Pudding is thinking of the night they first met. He saw “her” “...through the periscope, underneath a star shell that hung in the sky, he saw her….and though he was hidden, she saw Pudding. Her face was pale, she was dressed all in black, she stood in No-man’s Land, the machine guns raked their patterns all around her, but she needed no protection. “They knew you, Mistress. They were your own. And so were you” (p. 233). And then he offers her a “nice” memory of a legion of Franco’s troops killing and getting killed at a massacre at Badajoz for which he is “rewarded” with her beating and then pissing and shitting in his mouth… … … … However off-putting this may be for some (most), it does something for Pudding. He needs pain. “They have stuffed paper illusions and military euphemisms between him and this truth, this rare decency, this moment at her scrupulous feet….no it’s not guilt here, not so much as amazement - that he could have listened to so many years of ministers, scientists, doctors each with his specialized lies to tell, when she was here all the time, sure in her ownership of his failing body, his true body: undisguised by uniform, uncluttered by drugs to keep from him her communiqués of vertigo, nausea and pain. Above all, pain. The clearest poetry, the endearment of greatest worth…” (p. 234-235). Munching down on a hot turd makes Pudding think of the horrible smells of his service during WWI: putrid mud, rot, death, “...the sovereign smell of their first meeting, and her emblem” (p. 235). After eating her shit, he jerks off (his release), in a style that Domina Nocturna has learned from watching Captain Blicero and Gottfriend (at this point, it is safe to say, Domina Nocturna is Katje. Will we ever be able to look at her the same?). Pudding is then dismissed to “...a late-night cup of broth, routine papers to sign, a dose of penicillin that Pointsman has ordered him to take, to combat the effects of E. Coli” (p. 236). So thoughtful, that Pointsman... Commentary
The Silvernail hallucination/phantasmagoria seems like something straight out of “The Big Lebowski” had Jodorowsky had a bit of influence over the Coen Bros. art direction. Many of the songs in this section feel “Lebowski-esque” but this one especially so to me. Maybe its the detailed choreographic notes: “They dance in flowing skeins. The rats and mice form circles, curl their tails in and out to make chrysanthemum and sunburst patterns, eventually all form into the shape of a single giant mouse, at whole eye Silvernail poses with a smile” (p. 230).
The Franco bit is a nice way of linking facism and death worship
Pudding eating Domina Nocturna’s shit really, to quote an earlier passage, gave “de wrinkles in mah brain a process!”. There is so much symbolism there! Instead of ascending to heaven, Pudding heads down to hell. We have so many dualities linked in the act: between young and old, sacred and profane, pleasure and pain, pleasure through pain, WWI and WW2, man and woman, life and death, the general as a slave, even the food transformed through Katje into waste, all linked through the act of eating shit. For a moment they are linked so intimately, so delicately. No parabolas, a circle. And, of course, there’s also the diabolical Pointsman in the background, pulling the strings and manipulating to keep Pudding in line. I remember reading this for the first time and just being shocked and confused and now reading it again and finding so much meaning. That ol’ Pynchon is a devious bastard, hiding such loaded symbolism in such an obscene encounter. The Pulitzer committee had no idea what was coming for them!
So, if you’ve reached this point, congratulations and I am sorry! Here are my discussion questions. Looking forward to future posts! Discussion Questions Both On Topic and Tangential
Why is paranoia described as a “Puritan reflex” in Episode 22?
In Episode 23, as Slothrop peruses Katje’s extensive wardrobe, what is the significance of the line, “Aha! wait a minute, the operational scent in here is carbon tet, Jackson, and this wardrobe here’s mostly props” (p. 195)?
In Episode 24, what’s the significance of “the watchmen of world’s edge”? Is this an intrusion of the spirit world? Is Slothrop just hallucinating?
In Episode 24, when Peter Sachsa gets the blow to the temple from Schutzmann Jöche, why is his last thought, “How beautiful!” (p. 220)
In Episode 25, there’s a line in the part where Pudding is sneaking around: “A voice from some cell too distant for us to locate intones:...” (p. 231). Why us here? Why the change in perspective?
How’s this book affecting everyone’s mental health (you know, given that we’re in the end times right now)? Seriously, though, there are times when this book makes me so happy to be alive and proud of humanity and also times where it depresses the everloving shit out of me and makes me think that, as a species, we’re doomed to continue making the same mistakes, over and over again, until we end up destroying ourselves.
In a similar vein, do you think people as prodigiously talented and brilliant as Pynchon have any responsibility to counter the evil they see in the world? Is writing books enough or should they do more (lead, teach, etc.) to fight against the awful things they are able to see before the rest of us do?
2020.07.13 19:30 acquabobCapstone for Part 1: Gravity's Rainbow
Hey guys, apologies this is all coming so late. I've had a rough few weeks. I hope you're all doing well. This discussion will be pretty brief. Just a small summary and some questions to ponder. SUMMARY: During Winter 1944, the British SOE discover that Tyrone Slothrop, an American lieutenant, has a map of sexual conquests that correspond exactly to the locations where German V-2 rockets are falling. We see characters such as Roger Mexico, Ned Pointsman, and others, debate exactly why Slothrop's map is so correct. PISCES, a psy-ops outfit by the British, interrogate Slothrop's memories for racial tensions, using this data for their own endeavor, Operation Black Wing. This operation aims to destabilize the German war effort by postulating the existence of secret German Hereros involved in the rocket programs, labeled as the Schwarzkommando, to inflame German racial tensions. During all of this, PISCES becomes interested and plans to subject Slothrop to an experiment that will hopefully lay to rest the problem of the rockets. At the same time, across the English Channel, Captain Blicero of the Third Reich runs a V-2 station, locked in a game of sexual domination and conquest with Katje and Gottfried, his sexual slaves. Perhaps known to Blicero, Katje is a double agent serving the British intel on German movements. Eventually, she returns to London, having been extracted by Pirate Prentice, a member of the SOE. That's not all of it, but that is some of it... QUESTIONS: 1. Is this your first Pynchon? If so, how are you enjoying it?
What do you like or dislike about Part 1? What was your most favorite section and least favorite section? Why?
Are you enjoying the reading group? Are there any changes you feel should be made?
What do you think the experiment with Slothrop will entail?
How do you feel about the inclusion of the supernatural into an environment such as WWII?
I have heard that GR is really a book about the ways in which we order the world. Do you think this is accurate? Why or why not?
Keep cool but care. Sorry about this. Will try to catch up to you guys soon.
2020.07.10 16:20 SteveXmetalMMA Elo Pre-UFC 251: Fight Island
Hey Guys, FIGHT ISLAND IS REAL! and so is my attempt to get a data based MMA/UFC Rankings system. With 3 title fights there is lots of movement in the tops of the Elo rankings this week. I hope everyone is doing their best to get through the pandemic. For reference to what elo is and how these ratings were derived, please see my previous posts. Elo is a rating that can be useful at looking at strength of record. Points are given and taken depending on the opponents rating at the time, a win over a higher rated opponent yields more points, where a loss would lose fewer. Ratings were generated by scraping the Sherdog fight database and retroactively applying the formula for wins, losses and draws. These ratings hold some weight to record, for instance: Take Conor McGregor with a record of 22W / 4L and Julio Cesar Neves jr has a record of 34W/ 1L Conors Rating is 1760 Julios rating is 1534 By only looking at record, Conor McGregor would not appear to be better rated, but he has faced competition with better records so his score comes in higher, than Julio who has faced competition with lower ratings. ------------------------------------------ Since the Main event is in the Welterweight division, Lets take a look at that divisions top fighters
There's More than 1 title fight though, so lets look at the top 10 for the other divisions with Titles on the line! For Featherweight:
For the upcoming fights this weekend. Here are the ratings and a few notes on some of the more interesting match-ups:
Points for win
Score For win
Kamaru is the highest rated Active WW in the database. He has a great rating and overall is ranked 4th. Though Burns who is ranked 2nd couldn't make the fight, and we hope his healthy the Game-bred fighter Masvidal is 3rd at WW and 26th overall. A win Kamaru solidifies his position at the top of the division, but would not move him up in overall rankings, he would sit behind Khabib by about 4 points. If Masvidal Wins, he will take 66 points from Kamaru, and move to the top of the WW division and sit at about 12th overall.
Points for win
Score For win
Volkanovski is the #1 ranked FW and Max is #2, Volkanovski is around 11th overall. a win for him brings him to about 4th overall, and a win for Blessed takes 55 points from AV and places him at the top of the division and around 7th overall
Points for win
Score For win
For the BW title, this fight is very close Elo-wise, Yan is ranked 3rd and Aldo 4th at BW. A win for Yan would make him champion, but in Elo would not move him up in the BW rankings, though in overall rankings he would be at around 31st. Aldo with a win would move up to 3rd at BW and put him at around 31st as well overall. There are tons of interesting match-ups on this card, Here is a look at the rest of the UFC card:
Points for win
Score For win
Elizeu Zaleski Dos Santos
I try to keep an updated spreadsheet with the current rating and their highest rating, and average ELO of opponents. I update the UFC and important Bellator matches pretty regularly, everything else gets updated a little later. From my estimate, these scores are 95% accurate, I'm going through each fighter manually and checking how the code worked out, with fighters at 50+ fights i am usually missing about 1 fight. I double check with Tapology from time to time to ensure accuracy and capture additional amateur matches. I've added a separate tabs for division fighters Always open for questions on how this was put together and any comments on improvements. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Ccrjp3ejPrq_3ZmbjjTF5E-lPHhSUbgeRRSUs4JOYlM/edit?usp=sharing Enjoy the fights this weekend guys!
2020.06.15 19:01 MikeTheShowMaddenWin Rates Over the Weekend After Update (oh boy)
Everyone loves to talk about win rates, whether they use them correctly or not. Or, they understand how they can be skewed and such. Win rates are an effective tool to talk about certain parts of the game if they are used and represented correctly. Misrepresenting the win rates when talking about balance is the biggest thing that I see on this subreddit. Why do I say win rates are "misrepresented"? Win rates are misrepresented due to the fact the win rates given don't use the correct data that fits the context that the win rates are trying to represent. I've only ever seen anyone pulling win rates for this game based on the RE.net website stats which only shows you the win rates of all time. Why does that matter? It matters because you can only justify talking about win rates for balance changes and updates for games that were only played during that balance change or update. If someone talks about win rates based just based on the RE.net stats then it includes games that were won and lost outside the scope and context of the current game's balance. If I was to tell you the win rates using that data to talk about win rates after the Prison update, then there are literally hundreds of thousands (even millions) of games calculated in those win rates that happened in the past before the update. Those wins and losses are irrelevant because they didn't happen during the update, and thus not in the context of the update. That irrelevant data just skews win rates without accurately representing the context. How do we then calculate accurate and representable win rates? The simple answer is to take the difference of a single point in time to "now" and use that to calculate the win rates. So, in this particular case, the starting point should be June 12th as that is when the update dropped. Doing this might be a little hard and requires some forethought as the RE.net website doesn't have a history of the stats. You manually have to capture that day as a "snapshot" of some sort in order to remember what those stats were on that day. Normally taking a screenshot of the website would be sufficient, but for this particular sample, I got the Wayback Machine to archive the website on June 12th. So, without further ado, here are the stats: Masterminds
Annette - 45.78%
Daniel - 43.77%
Alex - 42.60%
Spencer - 47.90%
Nicholai - 52.34%
Valerie - 51.49%
Jan - 50.90%
Tyrone - 49.48%
Samuel - 53.74%
Martin - 48.28%
Becca - 50.30%
Jill - 48.21%
Average Mastermind win rate: 46.48% Average Survivor win rate: 50.34% Sources:
Before anyone goes, "well aren't you the guy that always says win rates aren't good to use or can't be used" - yes that is me. I explained why they can't be reliable due to the error rate, but for this set of data the error rate is only ~1%. Due to the smaller range of days and the penalty system added, I suspect rage quitting has toned down some for the time being. As you can see, in just 2-3 days the drastic balance changes have shown their ugly head. I planned on making this post on Friday to give a week of data, but the data just over the weekend still shows the insane balance problems. SWAT teams were almost impossible (if not impossible) to win against before as a mastermind, just imagine now. Average and below average survivor teams are clearly winning more often than they were before. Things to note:
All but one mastermind is currently under 50% win rate. Nicholai is the exception, but is slowly getting lower by the day.
More than half of the survivors are over 50% win rate, but the rest are very close being within 1-2%. I suspect all of them will be over 50% by the end of the week
Creature builds are dead.
Everything is fineTM
EDIT: If you plan on downvoting, drop a comment and explain why you are downvoting. It can help me clear confusion, or help me make better posts in the future. Just blindly downvoting does no good for anyone, but I see that is happening. EDIT 2: since a lot of people asked about why 50/50 win rates aren't the "fair" and "perfect" balance between masterminds and survivors, I will sum up the reasons why and give my thought on what "should" the win rate look like. Win rates can't be expected to be 50/50 in an asymmetrical game for a couple reasons. The main reason is the fact that team sizes aren't the same, so the gameplay isn't even on both sides. When a mastermind wins, they are 100% responsible for their wins and losses. When a survivor wins, they are 25% responsible for their win as they win as a group/team of survivors. This distinction matters due to the fact that win rates are looked on at an individual level. When you see a survivor win rate, you see the odds of that one individual using a survivor. The expectation that every survivor should win 50% of the time when they are only 25% of the team is impossible. The only way that ever is fine is if the whole survivor population always played with the same exact team because, again, survivors win and lose as a team. In that perfect scenario, 50/50 would be the fair and perfect win rate. But, perfect isn't possible, and neither is the expectation of each individual random win 50% of the time. So, I've been asked what the ideal win rate for this game to be, and I took some time to come up with an answer. The reality is that win rates used for balance is not really ideal in a system that doesn't match based on skill. That is why masterminds are now getting punished and lose games they cannot possibly win. If this game was 100% MMR based with skill-based matchmaking, then a win rate balance would work. Since matchmaking is mostly not, and hasn't been until recently for PS4, the game must force losses that are out of scope of someone's skill in order to ensure the "desired" win rate split is met. If MMR was used, the MMR matchmaking would always ensure equal skill matches were present, and thus the game wouldn't need to create impossible-to-win games. In order to give an accurate win rate split, you'd need to do a running calculations of each survivor wins based on the games they played with other survivors - that's what MMR functions like Glicko and TrueSkill do. Since I can't really give an answer as that formula is very complex and we don't have all the data, there is a simple way to think about what the win rate should be. You have two scenarios with survivors:
random queues and such
We already know this fact about the game, but why does it matter? In the random scenario, each survivor is responsible for 25% of their win/loss. In a premade scenario, you are treating yourself as a singular unit so they are the full 50% of the "fair" win rate. A simple take on finding out what the "average" win rate is simply just averaging those two factors. Doing so, you get 37.5% average win rate between the two possible scenarios. In order to find the mastermind win rate, you subtract that from 100% and you get 62.5%. So the simple "ideal" win rate split should be around 37.5/62.5. Now, that isn't an absolute and you can put more favor towards randoms and get an even 40/60 split, but that is the general idea on how win rates in asymmetrical games should look.
2020.06.14 02:19 belowsealevel805Two Coincidental Suicides: Black Men Found Hanging From Trees In Southern California
***UPDATES in thread 6/17, 5 hangings- some still under investigation*** Suicide hotline number at bottom of post, and in case you all didn't know- BLACK! LIVES! MATTER! Hi All, first time ever creating a Reddit post, be kind. Let me know if there is a better forum for this.
On the morning of May 31, 2020, 38 yo Malcolm Harsch was found dead, hung from a tree in front of Victorville City Library. Cause of death is pending. RIP Malcolm. UPDATE 6/15: Deemed suicide. His girlfriend reported it and those that found him were fast enough on the scene to perform CPR. His family doubt it is suicide and there is no independent investigation. CA AG is also investigating the connection to the other California case in this thread.
2020.06.05 19:08 wadenelsonredditorBaltimore Protesters Weigh the Risks—and Take to the Streets Anyway EXCERPTS
https://www.globalhealthnow.org/2020-06/baltimore-protesters-weigh-risks-and-take-streets-anyway BALTIMORE—Face masks served double duty as mini protest signs Monday as over 1,000 people took over the streets of downtown Baltimore for a third straight day of protests against racial violence. As helicopters circled in the afternoon sky, the youth-led march streamed past storefronts—boarded up in anticipation of the same violence and looting seen in other cities. Approaching City Hall, organizers halted the march to send a message: “If you’re out here to cause problems please go home,” an organizer called through a megaphone. “This is a peaceful protest”—and save some tensions with police after dark, it remained so. Protests following the death of George Floyd, the 46-year-old black man who died after a Minneapolis police officer knelt on his neck for over 8 minutes, have brought racial tensions to a boiling point across the US. Baltimore is no exception, but at Monday’s protest, the dominant feeling was that no one wanted a repeat of 2015, when a violent uprising and scores of protester arrests followed the in-custody death of another black man: Freddie Gray. With t-shirts and cardboard signs, marchers also paid homage to a laundry list of other names, from Tyrone West, killed in 2013 during a traffic stop with Baltimore police, to Breonna Taylor, who in March was shot dead in her home by Louisville police. The string of protests across US cities—and now abroad—has no doubt seen social distancing take a back seat to social justice. But the possibility that racial violence protests could become COVID-19 super-spreader events—and the fact that COVID-19 disproportionately impacts people of color—was not lost on the sprawling crowd. Still, protesters in Baltimore made it clear that the COVID-19 pandemic does not override the need to address another public health emergency—racism—and many felt they had no choice but to tackle both head-on. Since Floyd's death, several medical associations have followed suit, releasing statements decrying racism as a public health issue. Amid chants of “We can’t breathe” and “Black Lives Matter,” young marchers hauled communal coolers of bottled water, shared squeezes of hand sanitizer, and handed out the latest protest essential. “Excuse me, do you need a mask?” Mimi, 21, asked a passerby (she declined to give a last name). When they declined, another young woman shook her head and said: “It’s like some people out here want to get coronavirus.” Coronavirus or not, protesting “is the reality of life,” for Mimi. She was just 18 months old when she went to her first protest, and 16 when Gray’s death sparked widespread unrest in Baltimore, says her mother, Terri Johnson. As a clinical social worker and the parent of 2 black children, Johnson sees the toll of racism and social inequities firsthand—and said there was no question that her family should attend the protest. Racial injustice “infiltrates every part of who you are. If you don’t feel safe and you’re always in a hyper-vigilant state, how do you expect people to be healthy?” she asked, wearing a face mask with “Protect Our Babies” written across it. As the protest made its way from City Hall onto I-83, which was partially blocked off for the event, a group of students from Morgan State University—a historically black institution in Baltimore—greeted each other by bumping forearms. “We’ve been doing that since corona started instead of dapping each other up,” said Samuel Aribilola, 21, a senior attending his first protest. When Aribilola told his parents he was going, they expressed equal concern about COVID-19 and the possibility of violence and police overreach. That same evening, peaceful protesters 40 miles away in Washington, DC were tear-gassed to clear the way for President Trump to visit a church near the White House. More than 10,000 people have been arrested in this latest wave of protests, according to an AP tally. In Baltimore, the massive crowd paused as it passed the city correctional center, chanting messages of support to those inside. From behind the tightly slatted window bars, a chorus of amorphous voices replied: “Black Lives Matter! We love you!” “We know the risk we’re running by being out here. I originally had those fears that [COVID-19] might spread in a couple of weeks… But it was still no question for me,” said Joshua Adeyemi, 22, who lost an aunt to coronavirus. Most of the time, he tries to block out the inherent danger of being a young black man in America. “I try not to think about how society really is so I can try to live my life. But when our fellow black community members are killed, it brings something out of us,” he says. “I have been violated by a police officer. A black police officer,” added Brandon, 19, who did not give a last name. “I’m not saying all cops are bad, but certain cops need to step up and take initiative in their community.” But when it comes to COVID-19, it’s on individuals to protect themselves: “We can all take some accountability while we’re out here,” Brandon says. “We understand we gotta have our mask on. There’s a lot of people, but we all can keep a certain amount of distance. We’re all out here to practice our First Amendment right.” As protesters gathered back at City Hall, prayer groups formed, the smell of burning sage filled the air, and weary demonstrators flopped on the grass and shared snacks, while others shouted at walls of masked police officers, some of whom took a knee in solidarity. Across the street, Baltimore’s iconic Arabbers—urban horsemen known for selling produce via horse-and-cart—pulled up in a horse-drawn glass hearse loaded, in lieu of a coffin, with a painting of George Floyd by the local muralist Gaia. As the carriage pulled away for Floyd’s symbolic “last ride,” a young black girl—her plastic face protector resembling a tiny police shield—reached out to touch his painted face through the glass.
2020.05.30 04:36 ddiopAnother long post: The best 5-man regular season lineups since 1997 (min. 150 MP)
Why 1997? The oldest PBP data. Why 150 MP? Pretty much includes every 5-man lineup without being exhaustive. All data can be found in this link The ultimate ranking is simply minutes played multiplied by net rating per 100 possessions (roughly a full game). So with that understood, I'll quickly summarize the best/worst lineups, because we all like rankings. Top 10 Overall Lineups:
2006 Detroit Pistons (Chauncey Billups, Rip Hamilton, Tayshaun Prince, Rasheed Wallace, Ben Wallace) +15.5, 1674.5 minutes played
1997 Utah Jazz (John Stockton, Jeff Hornacek, Bryon Russell, Karl Malone, Greg Ostertag) +25.2, 984.2 minutes played
2015 Los Angeles Clippers (Chris Paul, J.J. Redick, Matt Barnes, Blake Griffin, DeAndre Jordan) +18.7, 1213.6 minutes played
2005 Phoenix Suns (Steve Nash, Quentin Richardson, Joe Johnson, Shawn Marion, Amar'e Stoudemire) +16.0, 1342.4 minutes played
2008 Boston Celtics (Rajon Rondo, Ray Allen, Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett, Kendrick Perkins) +19.7, 1072.0 minutes played
1997 Atlanta Hawks (Mookie Blaylock, Steve Smith, Tyrone Corbin, Christian Laettner, Dikembe Mutombo) +15.8, 1189.9 minutes played
2015 Golden State Warriors (Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, Harrison Barnes, Draymond Green, Andrew Bogut) +19.5, 810.5 minutes played
1998 Indiana Pacers (Mark Jackson, Reggie Miller, Chris Mullin, Dale Davis, Rik Smits) +14.7, 1047.6 minutes played
2013 Indiana Pacers (George Hill, Lance Stephenson, Paul George, David West, Roy Hibbert) +12.1, 1218.2 minutes played
2007 Houston Rockets (Rafer Alston, Tracy McGrady, Shane Battier, Chuck Hayes, Yao Ming) +27.4, 525.7 minutes played
2010 Celtics (9th) and 2005 Pistons (10th) were removed simply because they were the same line-up as a lineup already listed higher up. Top 5 2020 Lineups:
Milwaukee Bucks (Eric Bledsoe, Wesley Matthews, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Brook Lopez) +19.2, 407.7 minutes played (70th all time)
Utah Jazz (Donovan Mitchell, Joe Ingles, Bojan Bogdanovic, Royce O'Neal, Rudy Gobert) +12.6, 570.5 minutees played (88th all time)
Miami Heat (Jimmy Butler, Kendrick Nunn, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Meyers Leonard) +12.5, 487.4 minutes played (121st all time)
New Orleans Pelicans (Lonzo Ball, Jrue Holiday, Brandon Ingram, Zion Williamson, Derrick Favors) +25.9, 229.8 minutes played (126th all time)
Denver Nuggets (Jamal Murray, Gary Harris, Will Barton, Paul Millsap, Nikola Jokic) +7.2, 735.3 minutes played (158th all time)
Pelicans already being top 5 with Williamson cumulatively is terrifying. They have had an easy schedule, but damn, I didn't know until I was writing this how good they are. Also to consider for all-time rankings, that the season was shortened so all these would be higher on an 82 game scale. Top 5 Per Possession:
2016 Golden State Warriors (Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, Harrison Barnes, Andre Iguodala, Draymond Green) +45.6, 171.8 minutes played
2012 Chicago Bulls (John Lucas III, Kyle Korver, Luol Deng, Taj Gibson, Omer Asik) +35.6, 157.5 minutes played
2003 San Antonio Spurs (Tony Parker, Manu Ginobili, Bruce Bowen, Malik Rose, Tim Duncan) +33.6, 153.7 minutes played
2017 Cleveland Cavaliers (Kyrie Irving, DeAndre Liggins, LeBron James, Kevin Love, Tristan Thompson) +32.2, 180.7 minutes played
2010 Oklahoma City Thunder (Eric Maynor, James Harden, Kevin Durant, Serge Ibaka, Nick Collison) +30.0, 151.9 minutes played
The 2016 Warriors also had the 5th best lineup, swapping Harrison Barnes and Andrew Bogut for one another, and the Spurs in 2007 with pretty much the same lineup, except Francisco Elson in for Malik Monk, was 6th. Fairly interesting how most these lineups are just some random guy slotted in with the starting guys elevates them to supreme levels; addition by subtraction. That Bulls team is real random, though. That #1 lineup is also the third fastest pace team ever, behind the 2019 Warriors (Curry, Klay, Durant, Dray, Boogie) and the current Bucks team I already mentioned, which is fun. Now for the ugly parts. The würsts. Bottom 5 Overall Lineups
2016 Los Angeles Lakers (D'Angelo Russell, Jordan Clarkson, Kobe Bryant, Julius Randle, Roy Hibbert) -24.0, 570.8 minutes played
2000 Vancouver Grizzlies (Mike Bibby, Michael Dickerson, Shareef Abdur-Rahim, Othella Harrington, Bryant Reeves) -8.7, 1046.0 minutes played
2002 New York Knicks (Mark Jackson, Allan Houston, Latrell Sprewell, Clarence Weatherspoon, Kurt Thomas) -12.0, 705.3 minutes played
2014 Philadelphia 76ers (Michael Carter-Williams, James Anderson, Evan Turner, Thaddeus Young, Spencer Hawes) -12.7, 611.5 minutes played
2003 Cleveland Cavaliers (Milt Palacio, Ricky Davis, Darius Miles, Carlos Boozer, Zydrunas Ilgauskas) -17.1, 424.4 minutes played
Poor Grizzlies, that was their A-Team. That Lakers team is woof. Bottom 5 Per Possession
2012 Detroit Pistons (Brandon Knight, Ben Gordon, Tayshaun Prince, Jonas Jerebko, Greg Monroe) -26.8, 166.7 minutes played
2000 Golden State Warriors (Mookie Blaylock, Larry Hughes, Donyell Marshall, Jason Caffey, Adonal Foyle) -26.5, 201.7 minutes played
2016 Los Angeles Lakers (Lou Williams, Jordan Clarkson, Kobe Bryant, Julius Randle, Roy Hibbert) -25.8, 198.2 minutes played
2006 Philadelphia 76ers (Allen Iverson, Kevin Ollie, Andre Iguodala, Chris Webber, Samuel Dalembert) -24.3, 159.7 minutes played
2003 Los Angeles Clippers (Andre Miller, Corey Maggette, Lamar Odom, Cherokee Parks, Sean Rooks) -24.1, 183.4 minutes played
Some people I can't say I'm too familiar with on these rosters, can't tell you a thing about Jason Caffey, Kevin Ollie, or Sean Rooks. The 2016 Lakers roster got even worse swapping out D'Lo for Lou Will, interesting. Also surprising to see a 76ers team that isn't the process on here. In fact there are 3 worse lineups including Allen Iverson on the 6ers than any process lineup. And, if anyone's curious, since I mentioned the 3 fastest lineups, the three slowest are the '97 Cavaliers, '04 Jazz, and (tied) '04 76ers, and '03 Pistons. The best lineups for each team in the past 24 years, in order of best lineups, are as such: 1. Detroit Pistons 2006 - Chauncey Billups, Rip Hamilton, Tayshaun Prince, Rasheed Wallace, Ben Wallace +15.5, 1674.5 minutes played
Utah Jazz 1997 - John Stockton, Jeff Hornacek, Bryon Russell, Karl Malone, Greg Ostertag +25.2, 984.2 minutes played
Los Angeles Clippers 2015 - Chris Paul, J.J. Redick, Matt Barnes, Blake Griffin, DeAndre Jordan +18.7, 1213.6 minutes played
Phoenix Suns 2005 - Steve Nash, Quentin Richardson, Joe Johnson, Shawn Marion, Amar'e Stoudemire +16.0, 1342.4 minutes played
Boston Celtics 2008 - Rajon Rondo, Ray Allen, Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett, Kendrick Perkins +19.7, 1072.0 minutes played
Atlanta Hawks 1997 - Mookie Blaylock, Steve Smith, Tyrone Corbin, Christian Laettner, Dikembe Mutombo +15.8, 1189.9 minutes played
Golden State Warriors 2015 - Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, Harrison Barnes, Draymond Green, Andrew Bogut +19.5, 810.5 minutes played
Indiana Pacers 1998 - Mark Jackson, Reggie Miller, Chris Mullin, Dale Davis, Rik Smits +14.7, 1047.6 minutes played
Houston Rockets 2007 - Rafer Alston, Tracy McGrady, Shane Battier, Chuck Hayes, Yao Ming +27.4, 525.7 minutes played
Oklahoma City Thunder 2016 - Russell Westbrook, Andre Roberson, Kevin Durant, Serge Ibaka, Steven Adams +17.4, 813.9 minutes played
Sacramento Kings 2004 - Mike Bibby, Doug Christie, Peja Stojakovic, Brad Miller, Vlade Divac +13.2, 1072.4 minutes played
Los Angeles Lakers 2011 - Derek Fisher, Kobe Bryant, Metta World Peace, Lamar Odom, Pau Gasol +14.7, 953.4 minutes played
New Orleans Hornets (I'm crediting this as a NOLA team, not Charlotte) 2008 - Chris Paul, Morris Peterson, Peja Stojakovic, David West, Tyson Chandler +11.0, 1210.1 minutes played
San Antonio Spurs 2002 - Tony Parker, Steve Smith, Bruce Bowen, Tim Duncan, David Robinson +18.1, 732.1 minutes played
Orlando Magic 2010 - Jameer Nelson, Vince Carter, Matt Barnes, Rashard Lewis, Dwight Howard +16.7, 772.7 minutes played
Minnesota Timberwolves 2014 - Ricky Rubio, Kevin Martin, Corey Brewer, Kevin Love, Nikola Pekovic +11.6, 1051.1 minutes played
Dallas Mavericks 2007 - Devin Harris, Jason Terry, Josh Howard, Dirk Nowitzki, Erick Dampier +22.2, 548.4 minutes played
Philadelphia 76ers (knowing this makes me shake my head at what the 76ers have done since) 2018 - Ben Simmons, J.J. Redick, Robert Covington, Dario Saric, Joel Embiid +20.3, 597.9 minutes played
New Jersey Nets 2006 - Jason Kidd, Vince Carter, Richard Jefferson, Nenad Krstic, Jason Collins +10.9, 1109.2 minutes played
Portland Trailblazers ('14 Blazers are next all time, and '09 is 2 after that) 2000 - Damon Stoudamire, Steve Smith, Scottie Pippen, Rasheed Wallace, Arvydas Sabonis +13.8, 876.0 minutes played
Washington Wizards 2017 - John Wall, Bradley Beal, Otto Porter Jr., Markieff Morris, Marcin Gortat +7.9, 1345.2 minutes played
Cleveland Cavaliers 2015 - Kyrie Irving, J.R. Smith, LeBron James, Kevin Love, Timofey Mozgov +20.6, 479.2 minutes played
Miami Heat 2000 - Tim Hardaway, Dan Majerle, Jamal Mashburn, P.J. Brown, Alonzo Mourning +17.2, 572.3 minutes played
Memphis Grizzlies 2010 - Mike Conley, O.J. Mayo, Rudy Gay, Zach Randolph, Marc Gasol +6.4, 1473.6 minutes played
Toronto Raptors 2018 - Kyle Lowry, DeMar DeRozan, OG Anunoby, Serge Ibaka, Jonas Valanciunas +11.4, 800.2 minutes played
Milwaukee Bucks 2020 - Eric Bledsoe, Wesley Matthews, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Brook Lopez +19.2, 407.7 minutes played
Denver Nuggets 2004 - Andre Milller, Voshon Lenard, Carmelo Anthony, Nene, Marcus Camby +7.6, 980.7 minutes played
New York Knicks (interesting lineup, but how is this their best, no shade) 2013 - Raymond Felton, Jason Kidd, J.R. Smith, Carmelo Anthony, Tyson Chandler +27.3, 269.7 minutes played
Charlotte Hornets 2001 - Baron Davis, David Wesley, Jamal Mashburn, Elden Campbell, P.J. Brown +5.6, 1313.2 minutes played
Chicago Bulls (Who'da thunk they'd be last?) 1998 - Ron Harper, Michael Jordan, Scottie Pippen, Toni Kukoc, Dennis Rodman +21.4, 268.2 minutes played
There's a few players who were on two different teams' best lineup: Rasheed Wallace, Chris Paul, J.J. Redick, Matt Barnes, Serge Ibaka, Peja Stojakovic, Tyson Chandler, Vince Carter Kevin Love, Scottie Pippen, J.R. Smith, P.J. Brown, Marc Gasol, Jason Kidd, Carmelo Anthony. Also, one person managed to be on three teams, Steve Smith. Welp, that about does it, I guess. All data was gathered from basketball-reference.com, let me know if there's any questions you have, or suggestions, or whatever. I plan on doing this for all playoff teams soon, as that's something that I thought was kinda interesting, most teams' best 5-man lineup doesn't coincide with their best team post-season.
2020.05.27 00:11 zillguckerbergUpdate on my life progress and a thank you
TL;DR: Just read the whole goddamn thing. It's not that long :) I posted a few months ago about breaking up with my feminist girlfriend who made my masculinity seem "toxic" and who I could never satisfy. I thought I should update the community about my progress since then. I'll start by saying that my ex wasn't entirely bad. In fact she helped me with a number of things including losing weight and gaining some self-belief. The problem was that she knew this and tried to act like a lord over me since I was dependent on her. Since the breakup I've done the following: 1) Finished the Data Science course on DataQuest 2) Finished the quantitative finance lecture series on Quantopian 3) Continued my work on my PhD with little distraction 4) Taken full control of my mental health including weekly appointments with my therapist 5) Finished reading two books on Stoicism: the Enchiridion and Letters from a Stoic 6) Made a new friend in my neighborhood through a shared interest in sport It's not as if I could never do these things with her in my life. It's the fact that I am able to do these and more, quicker and without her distraction. We used to live together at some point and then we went long distance. In both situations, I put so much effort into spending time with her either physically on dates or on phone calls. For example, when we went long distance, I would often speak to her for at least 2 hours every night. After the calls, I would be dead tired and just close my laptop or books and sleep. But now, I spend all that time studying or working towards my dreams. My phone doesn't ring and everywhere is quiet. I also don't have to spend time complimenting and pleasing her. Women may offer pleasure and other good things, but as a single man, there is a pleasure in the heart that being with a woman cannot offer. In fact, her presence may even hinder you from feeling it. In the past I've had success with women and I've been everything from incel to nice guy to PUA(doing day game and night game) to Tyrone(I'm black, living in Europe) and beta-boyfriend Brad. But right now I'm in a sort of monk mode. I use the phrase "sort of" because I haven't made an active decision to go monk. Rather I don't spend any time trying to chat up women online or in real life. I don't care about the pleasure or validation from sex. In fact I think it's too much stress. From chatting with her and getting to know her, to flirting and thinking up creative replies, to the dates, to the sex and then the aftermath of sex, which involves keeping in touch with her to prevent that spark from burning out so that you can bang her again. I think it's too much effort for the little reward of intercourse. I'm content with my life as it is and my biggest desire is to receive my PhD and obtain a high paying job in the finance industry or run a startup of my own. It is my desire to put a smile on the faces of my parents back in Africa, who have labored so hard for me and my siblings to have the lives that we have today. I don't know how my future interactions with women will pan out but I know I'm focusing on myself right now. I am happy to have discovered this community and to have also discovered Stoicism. My mind is in a solid place and even though I don't have it all figured out yet, I'm not worried one bit about my future and the women it may or may not involve. I'm living for me. P.S. Any tips on how to combat insomnia? I seem to have inherited this from my father and I don't want to be hooked to sleeping pills. Cheers
2020.05.25 18:53 santaisjewishFollowing up with and grading every last pick in NBA history from 2019-1947.
I tried for a solid three and a half minutes to find a database of every last pick in every NBA draft since 1947, but my searches yielded mostly unhelpful results. So, instead of ranking a bunch of nobodies, I decided to grade them based upon very hasty research and what I know about them. Feel free to add on to these anecdotes. A “C” grade will be average in this case, an average last pick in an NBA draft usually doesn’t play so there will be other factors to consider, like how cool their name is or whether or not I’ve even heard of the country they’re from. Now, somewhat of an important disclaimer: I used data from NBA.com to find out the name of the last pick in every NBA Draft, but apparently NBA.com isn’t 100% accurate with this kind of stuff. Apparently, in some of the older drafts, some of the last picks shown weren’t actually the last pick in the draft due to weird extra rounds and other hijinks that I guess NBA.com doesn’t care about. That being said, I still think the list is mainly accurate and most of these guys seem to fit the bill anyway. 2019: Vanja Marinkovic, Sacramento Kings (KK Partizan Serbia) Yep, I’ve heard of that country before. Don’t know anything about Vanja but maybe he’s the next Nikola Jokic. Grade: C+ 2018: Kostas Antetokounmpo, Philadelphia 76ers (Dayton) The brother of an athletic freak who has a 1/500 chance of turning into him? And a 1/100 chance of influencing said athletic freak to come play for your team? What more could you want from a last pick? Grade: A 2017: Alpha Kaba, Atlanta Hawks (KK Mega Leks Serbia) Alpha has a cool ass name but is already playing overseas in France. Hawks took a very reasonable risk. Grade: C+ 2016: Tyrone Wallace, Utah Jazz (Cal) Somebody I’ve actually heard of! He’s in the G-League now for the Clippers, but to still be in the league after four years? That’s a win. Grade: B+ 2015: Luka Mitrovic, Philadelphia 76ers (Red Star Belgrade Serbia) We’ve only gone back five seasons and already we’re at our 3rd Serbian. Somebody in the front office scouting circles knows something that we all don’t about Serbia, clearly. I have to assume automatically that this is a good pick. Even if he didn’t pant out. And he didn’t. Grade: C+ 2014: Cory Jefferson, San Antonio Spurs (Baylor) Cory doesn’t play in the league anymore but he looks intimidating and I vaguely remember him in college. Grade: C 2013: Janis Timma, Memphis Grizzlies (BK Ventspils Latvia) I know nothing about this guy but there’s a ⅓ chance he’s better than Anthony Bennett. He looks more like a surfer than a basketball player. Grade: C- 2012: Robert Sacre, Los Angeles Lakers (Gonzaga) If you’re a Lakers fan or are familiar with the word “upside” then you probably remember bench god Robert Sacre, who survived on the Lakers’ roster until 2015. Grade: B+ 2011: Isaiah Thomas, Sacramento Kings (Washington) The best last pick of all time. Only the Kings could follow this massive success with a massive fuckup after they gave IT up for nothing, allowing him to get traded by the Suns and become an MVP candidate. I’m tempted to grade this an F because of the emotional trauma that Kings inflicted upon their fans by hyping them up only to crush their spirits. But I just can’t. It is very, very unlikely that a player of IT’s calibre ever falls to the last pick of the draft ever again. Grade: A+ Dwayne Collins, Phoenix Suns (Miami FL) Lol imagine not being Isaiah Thomas, what a loser. Grade: F 2009: Robert Dozier, Miami Heat, (Memphis) I don’t know if this guy even made it to the NBA but Wikipedia tells me that the last team he played for was called the “Phoenix Pulse Fuel Masters” of the Philippine Basketball Association. Is this a good thing or a bad thing? Grade: D- 2008: Semih Erden, Boston Celtics (Fenerbahce Turkey) Averaged 3.8 ppg in the NBA for multiple teams. Can’t really complain. Grade: C 2007: Milokan Rakovic, Dallas Mavericks (KK Mega Leks Serbia) Serbian count is up to 4. They are the Duke or Kentucky of the international NBA draft scene, this is ridiculous. Absolute powerhouse. Grade: C+ 2006: Will Blalock, Detroit Pistons (Iowa State) This guy last played for the Saint John Mill Rats of Canada. I think the Mill Rats could take the Fuel Masters in 7, so I like the pick here. Grade: C 2005: Alex Acker, Detroit Pistons (Pepperdine) They shot Zoey 101 on Pepperdine’s campus, which is amazingly beautiful. Don’t know anything about this guy, really. Played in Italy for a bit. Grade: C 2004: Rashad Wright, Indiana Pacers (Georgia) He never played a minute for the Pacers and played his entire career overseas. Not good, dude probably should have played football. Grade: D+ 2003: Andreas Glyniadakis, Detroit Pistons (Greece) There’s a 1/25 chance this guy met LeBron at some point but there’s also like a ½ chance this guy has talked to Darko a well so we can’t have that. Grade: D 2002: Corsley Edwards, Sacramento Kings (Cent. Connecticut State) This guy probably has the 2nd best teeth in the game. Grade: C 2001: Bryan Bracey, San Antonio Spurs (Oregon) Dude had some nice cornrows Grade: C+ 2000: Pete Mickeal, Dallas Mavericks (Cincinnati) This guy is actually a scout for the Timberwolves right now, so that’s pretty cool. Not sure if that’s a good thing, though, i’m not sure if the Twolves have had any good draft moves outside of Okogie. Grade: D+ 1999: Eddie Lucas, Utah Jazz (Virginia Tech) I googled this guy and he’s currently a construction worker. This is a massive advancement in the “MJ played against construction workers” campaign that many on twitter keep pushing. Grade: F+ 1998: Maceo Baston, Chicago Bulls (Michigan) Finally, a cool name, it’s been awhile. Too bad MJ probably robbed this guy’s signing bonus blind in a game of poker or something then bullied him into an early retirement. Even though he, himself, was already retired. That’s how good he was. Grade: C- 1997: Roberto Duenas, Chicago Bulls (Spain) Okay, maybe MJ didn’t get Maceo Baston but he definitely got this guy. Definitely. Grade: D 1996: Darnell Robinson, Dallas Mavericks (Arkansas) He won an NCAA title in ‘94 which is actually incredible because I had no idea Arkansas even had a basketball team let alone a winner. Good for them, even though the Razorback fans were probably too busy paying attention to football season already to care. Grade: B- 1995: Don Reid, Detroit Pistons (Georgetown) We’re getting to the point where google is becoming really unhelpful with the searches, the last two names i’ve googled have had their searches hijacked by singers. Not sure what to make of that. Grade: D 1994: Zeljko Rebraca, Seattle Supersonics (KK Partizan Serbia) Another draft, another Serbian picked last. I think it’s officially time we look into an anti-Serbian agenda the NBA has taken on. Grade: C+ 1993: Byron Wilson, Phoenix Suns (Utah) This guy had a super long career overseas, for what that’s worth. He hung em up in 2010. Good for him. Never played a minute in the association, though. Grade: C+ 1992: Brett Roberts, Sacramento Kings (Morehead State) Brett led the NCAA in scoring for a season. That’s about it. Grade: C+ 1991: Marcus Kennedy, Portland Trailblazers (Eastern Michigan) After flunking out of the NBA he won rookie of the year in the CBA, which is the Continental Basketball Association, obviously. Only idiots don’t know that. Grade: C- 1990: Sean Higgins, San Antonio Spurs (Michigan) Higgins stayed in the league until ‘98 and won a title in college. Probably pretty funny and cracked a few jokes in the locker room. Grade: B- 1989: Toney Mack, Philadelphia 76ers (Georgia) If you’re still reading this, I applaud your effort, because this player is neither interesting nor talented. Like most of these last picks. I’m sure Toney was really good at basketball up until a point where he wasn’t and it was really tragic for him. Perhaps it has haunted him ever since, the allure of what could have been, the mystery of lost talent. Grade: F 1988: Archie Marshall, San Antonio Spurs (Kansas) There’s a 1/10 chance this guy has met Pop. Grade: C 1987: Chris Dudley, Cleveland Cavaliers (Yale) Obviously the Cavs tried to go with the big brain guy here to back up Mark Price and Brad Daugherty. Did it work? Well, yeah, actually it did. Dudley stayed in the NBA all the way up until 2003, which is actually kind of remarkable. Not to mention he was the last pick in a draft that had 4 rounds. Grade: A 1986: Dan Bingenheimer, Golden State Warriors (Missouri) Cool name alert, finally. Who knows what kinds of nicknames this guy probably had. He probably allowed his teammates’ brains to get stimulated with nicknames and insults alike because Dan was a bum and never did anything in the NBA. Sorry, but it’s the truth. Grade: D+ 1985: Alex Stivrins, Seattle Supersonics (Colorado) We’re starting to reach automatic white guy territory, but before we do, let’s admire how Stivrins played 5 years in the french league after getting drafted before coming back to the league. I’m sure American fans were eager to receive his skills. Grade: C+ 1984: Marc Glass, Los Angeles Clippers (Montana) This one kind of creeped me out because there’s a point guard in one of my 2k leagues that's randomly generated and who has the same name that also plays for the Clippers. Besides that his name is so boring that google barely knows who he is, actually requiring me to scroll down to find him, which I definitely did not do. Grade: D1983: Ron Crevier, Chicago Bulls (Boston College) This guy sounds like a background character in Ratatouille. Grade: C- 1982: Norm Anchrum, New York Knicks (UAB) A decent name. He won the price is right once, scored a package worth $6400. So that proves that he was probably decently smart. Grade: C+ 1981: Kevin Figaro, Atlanta Hawks (UL-Lafayette) Figaro, Figaro. Grade: C 1980: Rory Sparrow, New Jersey Nets (Villanova) Rory actually had a decent career, putting up 12/5 in his best year with the Heat. Retired in ‘92, he’s done pretty well for a last pick. Grade: A 1979: Ron Ripley, Golden State Warriors (UWGB) Ron Ripley is a husband and father surviving in New England, a place which seems to be getting colder every day. He grew up across from a disturbingly large cemetery where he managed to scare himself every night before going to bed Grade: F 1978: Jeff Covington, New Orleans Jazz (Youngstown State) Jeff got to be apart of the Jazz before they moved to Utah and their team name ceased to make sense. That’s a plus. Grade: C+ 1977: Larry Williams, Kansas City Kings (Texas Southern) I wrote about Larry Williams in this post. Larry Williams deserves a grade so low that no letter or number could quantify it. Grade: Bad 1976: Tom Lockhart, Milwaukee Bucks (Manhatten) This guy waa from Manhatten so he was probably shell-shocked when he was traded to Milwaukee and the bodegas and hot dog carts turned into bars and brat shacks. It probably sent him into hysterics, if i had a guess. Not sure why the Bucks would do this. Grade: D- 1975: Wilbur Holland, Atlanta Hawks (New Orleans) This guy was only 6 foot flat. He probably got called Wilbur the pig at some point in his life, which means there’s an increased chance that he’s suffered a great amount of emotional trauma that has stuck with him throughout his basketball career. Grade: D- 1974: Gary Novak, Cleveland Cavaliers (Notre Dame) Gary never played in the NBA. He played four years at Notre Dame so he probably won’t shut up about that. Grade: D 1973: Gary Rhoades, Houston Rockets (Colorado State) So now i’d say we’re officially in the automatic white guy territory, ushered in by Gary here who never played in the league. His draft featured five rounds so it makes sense. The game was rigged from the start. Grade: D+ 1972: Rudy Benjamin, Houston Rockets (Michigan State) It’s starting to get grim. Rudy never played in the NBA either. This is a long streak at this point. How do we know the NBA isn’t just making these guys up? Perhaps the entire country of Serbia is made up, invented by the NBA to get more players into the NBA draft. I’m just asking questions. Grade: D 1970: Wayne Sokolowski, Cleveland Cavaliers (Ashland) Wayne Sokolwoski? More like Wayne sucks at basketballowski. Grade: D 1969: Larry Jeffries, Detroit Pistons (Trinity TX) Google tells me Larry is one of the best players in Southland conference history. Nice. Grade: C+ 1968: Phil Wagner, St. Louis Hawks (Georgia Tech) Phil probably existed. Grade: C+ 1967: Sonny Bustion, San Francisco Warriors (Colorado State) What do you really want me to tell you about Sonny Bustion? Grade: C 1966: John Wetzel, Los Angeles Lakers (Virginia Tech) This guy was taken in the 8th round. 8th. Not even the damn NFL draft has 8 rounds. This guy must be really, really bad. Grade: F+ 1965: Wayne Molis, New York Knicks (Lewis) He played two seasons and then a knee injury ended his career, drawing comparisons to Derrick Rose. Back in 1969 everyone was wondering what could have been with the Mole Man. Grade: B 1964: Camden Wail, San Francisco Warriors (Cal) Now we’re talkin’, a cool name to invigorate this list. Grade: C+ 1963: Carl Ritter, St. Louis Hawks (SEMS) Carl Ritter was a German geographer. Along with Alexander von Humboldt, he is considered one of the founders of modern geography. From 1825 until his death, he occupied the first chair in geography at the University of Berlin. Grade: F 1962: Chris Jones, Cincinnati Royals (Carson-Newman) If you’ve scrolled down this far, it’s honestly an amazing feat. I don’t know anything about Chris Jones at all and his name is so generic that I don’t even want to test Google. I’ve never even heard of Carson-Newman. Not once. Grade: C 1961: Gene Veloff, St. Louis Hawks (Doane) What the fuck is a Doane? Grade: F 1960: Dennis Moore, Cincinnati Royals (Regis CO) Dennis Moore Grade: F 1959: Jack Evans, Minneapolis Lakers (Lake Superior State) Jack was drafted in the 11th round, which is just utterly ridiculous. Grade: D- 1958: Frank Tartaton, Cincinnati Royals (Xavier) Now, this is not a mis-spelling of NFL legend Fran Tarkenton. This guy was probably way less talented. Grade: C- 1957: Jack Butcher, Boston Celtics (Memphis) What a fucking name.This guy is likely the unsung hero of the Celtics’ entire franchise, what fear he must have struck into the hearts of his opponents. Grade: B+ 1956: Robert Hodgson, Minneapolis Lakers (Wichita State) Nobody knows anything about this guy so let’s all pretend he would have been the GOAT if it wasn’t for some rare injury or something. Tragic. Grade: A+ 1955: Dick Welsh, St. Louis Hawks (USC) Dick. Welsh. Grade: C 1954: Vince Leta, Philadelphia Warriors (Lycoming) Apparently Lycoming is a liberal arts college in Pennsylvania, not a mis-spelling of Wyoming. Sort of a weird move to go to e liberal arts college and then go pro in the NBA but hey Vince good for you man. Grade: C 1953: Will Bales, Rochester Royals (Eastern Kentucky) I looked up this guy and both Will Barton and Will Bynum came up ahead of him, despite googling his exact game. Very tough scene for Bales and i’m not sure if he’s even alive to care. Probably not. Grade: C 1952: Burr Carlson, Philadelphia Warriors (Uconn) What a pompous ass name. Grade: F 1951: Hugo Kappler, Boston Celtics (NC State) At this point not even the first overall picks from these drafts are doing shit in the NBA. The guy who was taken first overall in this draft didn’t play a single minute in the NBA, and you expect this guy to do shit? We’re so far down the line at this point that I could just start making up names and 99.99% of the people reading wouldn’t know. Is Hugo Kappler real or just a figment of my imagination? You’ll have to put in the effort to find out, I guess. Grade: ? 1950: Earl Lloyd, Washington Capitols (West Virginia State) This guy got drafted by a hockey team in the NBA draft. We’ve gone so far back that we have transcended sports. Grade: G 1949: George Kaftan, Boston Celtics (Holy Cross) There is a 100% chance that this guy was involved in a point shaving scandal at Holy Cross. Grade: C 1948: Joe Holland, Baltimore Bullets (Kentucky) This guy played under Aldoph Rupp and Kentucky and won a title. That i do know. Grade: B+ 1947: Ed Koffenberger, Philadelphia Warriors (Duke) Here we are. The first last pick in NBA history, and it’s a Dukie. Disgusting. To boot, his name sounds more like a dentist’s name than a professional basketball player. Apparently he also played lacrosse at Duke. There’s a very good chance Coach K pai this guy under the table, despite being older than K by a very wide margin. You just can’t rule it out. Well, there you have it. Some very bad picks in this list, and one good one. Just goes to show you how improbable IT’s career has been after being picked out of that last spot.
2020.05.12 19:03 MikeTheShowMaddenSimple math to show why you can't trust current win rates using the current statistics (long post)
Win rates are a hot topic on this sub, and there have been many topics discussing it recently. A lot of people like to use the current win rates as an argument for balance. There are some people, myself including, that understand why you can't exactly rely on the current stats for balance. The win rates at best can just give general trends, which we have seen. Since launch, the win rates have slowly been shifting from one side to the other, but that isn't an absolute balance argument. So what is this simple math to help show the skewness of the stats? Let's use a very simple example to illustrate the point first: Assume we have 100 games played total where masterminds won 60% of games, which would leave survivors winning 40% of their games. Since there is a 4:1 survivor to mastermind ratio in games, we can show that there are 60 games won for masterminds and 40 games won for survivors. For those 60 games won by masterminds, 240 survivors had lost. And on the other side, 160 survivors won, and 40 masterminds had lost. So, with the 4:1 ratio, we can be sure that in the perfect world, every win/loss ratio should always be 4, right? A simple math check shows this:
240 survivor losses / 60 mastermind wins = 4
160 survivor wins / 40 mastermind losses = 4
What this tells us is that in the perfect world, because we know the ratio is 4:1 that means that every single person in the game is accounted for in the 60/40 example win rate. We can apply this same basic math to the current statistics for all wins and losses to see if everyone in all games is accounted for. * All stats gathered from https://www.residentevil.net/en/resistancestats.html as of recent
Survivor total games played - 16,549,786
Val - 3,309,700
Jan - 2,807,044
Tyrone - 2,255,989
Sam - 1,890,789
Martin - 1,860,508
Becca - 2,538,837
Jill - 1,886,919
Survivor total wins - 6,402,115
Val - 1,302,945
Jan - 1,060,823
Tyrone - 869,490
Sam - 747,806
Martin - 712,207
Becca - 927,108
Jill - 781,736
Survivor total losses (total games - total wins) - 10,147,671
Mastermind total games played - 4,177,231
Annette - 1,716,135
Daniel - 1,137,790
Alex - 664,956
Spencer - 658,350
Mastermind total wins - 2,398,002
Annette - 974,867
Daniel - 668,446
Alex - 335,878
Spencer - 418,811
Mastermind total losses (total games - total wins) - 1,779,229
So, with those statistics above, we can apply the same basic math before to win the ratios between survivors and masterminds. Assuming this is perfect data, everything should be 4 for both ratios.
From this, we can calculate the error rates for each of the ratios by using the formula: (ABS(true- observed) / true) * 100
Error rate of survivor losses to mastermind wins = (ABS(4 - 4.23) / 4) *100 = 5.75%
Error rate of survivor wins to mastermind losses = (ABS(4 - 3.60) / 4) * 100 = 10%
As you can see there is a bit of percentage error on both win/loss ratios. Now, those percentages might seem low to some people, but when you do the math you can see just how many players are affected. Let us take a look at the percentage error when looking against the whole:
16,549,786 * 5.75% = 951,613 survivors unaccounted for
4,177,231 * 10% = 417,723 masterminds unaccounted for
As you can see, there are quite a number of players that are missing some wins or losses in these statistics. With all the DCing not counting for losses, and quitting counting for wins for and not losses for others really is throwing the stats off from the ideal 4:1 ratio. From the first ratio, you can see that there are less survivor losses being recorded, so that means there are a lot of survivors DCing and leaving matches. From the second ratio, you can see that there are less mastermind losses being recorded, so that means there are a lot of masterminds DCing and leaving matches. In the end, everyone wants to use stats from RE.net to show balance and use them in your argument, so I decided to use those same stats to show you that you cannot use those stats for anything related to balance as they are far from accurate. Too many matches not accounted for on both sides, which leaves skewed and inflated win rates that aren't accurate. So, PLEASE stop using win rates to justify your balance changes. Tagging TheMagicalMeowstress as I think they might like this bit of math as well. TL;DR: The RE.net statistics aren't accurate in the slightest, so don't use them for your balance changes. That also goes for Capcom and Neobards. EDIT: LOL at the 67% upvoted. People still in denial of facts based on the stats they loved to tout.
2020.05.11 23:56 MikeTheShowMaddenHow often are people quitting and DCing from games? I got a look from using some streamers for perspective
There is quite a paradox on this subreddit right now when it comes to people quitting and DCing from games. We know it happens enough that people make posts about it almost daily, but then we will have people claim it doesn't happen that often when it comes to talking about how quitting and DCing skews both sides' win rates. Something doesn't add up, right? So, after a couple of conversations that I've had with people on here on both sides of the paradox, I decided to do a little research for myself just to see. I've always claimed to have seen a lot of quitting and DCing when I played and when I watch streams. During work, I have the luxury of watching streams so I switch between a few of the most popular ones. I've noticed a lot of the time that there are quite a few people who leave from these matches. I wanted to make sure I wasn't just having confirmation bias in only "noticing" when people leave vs when normal games go through. So what I did was take the most recent stream videos from five popular streamers and analyzed the stream to count and record when and how many people quit/DC. I recorded the stats for up to 20 games max per stream video. Most streams were 4-5 hours long, and not all streamers had full 20 games played in that time period, but it was very close. Below, I will list the streamers and the video I used as with the characters and times they had left the game. You guys can feel free to skip the the timestamp in the video to verify what I said was true and am not just making stats up.
Total games played: 20, total games where someone left: 5, total players quit: 6, game quit percentage: 25%
So, there is all the data I've gathered by watching the five bigger streamers that stream this game. All of these videos weren't cherry picked and started from the very start of their streams. All of this data is from ONE stream across multiple streamers. I'm sure there would be a lot more DCing and quitting if I watched multiple streams, or at different parts of the day. You can see some trends, and I've seen some trends when watching the video
All streamers are on PC
There seemed to be an equal amount of obvious DC to avoid losses as there are random quitters (where they quit that didn't make sense)
A lot of the same people that quit end up quitting more often throughout the streams or other streamers, so multi-offender DCer
TydeTyme had the luckiest of the bunch with only three games where he had people leave
More people quit against people going more hardcore
SwingPoynt had the second lowest quit rate, but he was memeing and fooling around in a lot of his games which would lend to not a hardcore gameplay
Overall, there is around a 40%-50% chance that you will get into a match where someone will leave
Overall, out of 94 total games, 47 players left.
Majority of the quits were against masterminds as the streamers playing survivors often partied with more people. It shows that premades are far more consistent, but there were still disconnects when the streamer was a survivor
2020.05.03 23:58 FinTheGiantThe Atlanta Falcons - Composed of Players who grew up closest to Atlanta
Which current NFL players align with the Atlanta Falcons as their hometown team? This is the 27th of 32 posts about the realignment of NFL teams based on the players hometowns. I did this by researching which town each active NFL player went to High School in, and then matching it with the closest NFL city geographically. Last time we saw the new Philadelphia Eagles. Let's see how the Atlanta Falcons stack up!
Powder Springs, GA
Peachtree Corners, GA
Johns Creek, GA
Powder Springs, GA
Stone Mountain, GA
Bench Players: Quarterbacks: Cam Newton (Atlanta, GA), Jameis Winston (Hueytown, AL), Josh Dobbs (Alpharetta, GA), Kyle Sloter (Atlanta, GA), Runningbacks: Chris Carson (Lilburn, GA), Jordan Howard (Gardendale, AL), Peyton Barber (Milton, GA), Kenyan Drake (Powder Springs, GA), Jerrick McKinnon (Marietta, GA), Isiah Crowell (Columbus, GA), Wayne Gallman (Longanville, GA), Mike Davis (Stone Mountain, GA) Wide Recievers: J.J. Nelson (Midfield, AL), Chris Conley (Dallas, GA), T.J. Jones (Gainesville, GA), Mecole Hardman (Elbert, GA) Tight Ends: Jared Cook (Suwanee, GA), O.J. Howard (Prattville, AL), Chris Herndon (Norcross, GA), Gerald Everett (Decatur, GA), C.J. Uzomah (Suwanee, GA) Offensive Line: OT Chris Hubbard (Columbus, GA), OT Cordy Glenn (Riverdale, GA) Defensive Interior: Quinnen Williams (Birmingham, AL), Da'Ron Payne (Birmingham, AL), Dalvin Tomlinson (McDonough, GA), Sheldon Rankins (Covington, GA), Marcell Dareus (Birmingham, AL), Henry Anderson (College Park, GA), Arby Jones (Warner Robins, GA), Robert Nkemdiche (Longville, GA), Steve McClendon (Ozark, AL), Cornelius Washington (Waynesboro, GA) Edge Rushers: Dee Ford (Odenville, GA), Mario Addison (Tarrant, AL), Carl Lawson (Milton, GA), Vic Beasley (Adairsville, GA), Jordan Jenkins (Hamilton, GA), Montez Sweat (Stone Mountain, GA), Bud Dupree (Irwinton, GA), Lorenzo Carter (Norcross, GA), Arden Key (Union City, GA), Michael Johnson (Plantersville, AL) Inside Linebackers: Wesley Woodyard (LeGrange, GA), Thomas Davis (Cuthbert, GA), Rashaan Evans (Auburn, AL), Kwon Alexander (Oxford, AL), Alec Ogletree (Newnan, GA) Cornerbacks: A.J. Bouye (Tucker, GA), James Bradberry (Pleasant Grove, AL), Bradley Roby (Suwanee, GA), Kareem Jackson (Macon, GA), Mike Hilton (Tyrone, GA), Daqueze Dennard (Jeffersonville, GA), Bobby McCain (Oxford, AL), Jhonathan Jones (Carollton, GA), Rock Ya-Sin (Atlanta, GA), Buster Skrine (Woodstock, GA), Dre Kirkpatrick (Gadsden, AL) Safeties: Shawn Williams (Blakley, GA), Da'Norris Searchy (Decatur, GA), Reshad Jones (Atlanta, GA) Kickers: Harrison Butker (Atlanta, GA) Punters: Sam Martin (Fayetville, GA), Westminster, SC I gathered the data for this team last summer. Players in italics are players who have retired since then. Because of when I gathered the data for these teams, I am not including players from the 2020 NFL Draft. Analysis: While they do not have many superstars, the re-aligned Falcons are stacked with high quality players and great depth options. The Falcons are set with a young star quarterback in Deshaun Watson. The Falcons have a very wide proportion of runningbacks in comparison to wide receivers, and because of this I feel the offense will perform best with two starting running backs: Nick Chubb and Alvin Kamara, both arguably top 5 running backs in the league. Nick Chubb will be the ground and pound guy, while Kamara will join Michael Gallup, Demaryius Thomas, and Evan Engram in the passing attack. This young offense has a few solid offensive linemen, but the offensive line is the one position group on the Falcons that is not filled with high quality backups. Behind Chubb and Kamara on the depth chart are several running backs who have had good stints in the past few years. Based on their defensive personnel, this team plays in a 3-4 defense. This defense doesn't have one stand out name, but it has a ton of great players, and its hard to find a hole in this unit. A defensive front with Stephon Tuitt, Grady Jarett, and Cameron Heyward seems unstoppable. The Falcons have a ton of linebackers, but I decided to pick the younger ones with tones of potential in the starting lineup - Bradley Chubb, Roquan Smith, Zach Cunningham, and Preston Smith. Notable backups in the front 7 include Dee Ford, Quinnen Williams, Dalvin Tomlinson, Wesley Woodyard, Thomas Davis, Sheldon Rankins, and more. The Falcons have several good cornerbacks who can cover number one receivers. Between Marlon Humphrey, Casey Hayward, A.J. Bouye, James Bradberry, and Kareem Jackson, the Falcons have several options to cover a variety of receivers. Geography: Overall, there are 77 players from Georgia, 34 players from Alabama, and 1 player from South Carolina on this team. The geographical area of this team stretches from eastern Alabama, through the northern half of Georgia, to the South Carolina border. The high school football talent in this region co insides with dominant SEC teams, such as Alabama and Georgia. While the majority of these players come from the suburbs outside of Atlanta, Birmingham Alabama also holds a decent batch up players. The city where the most players on this team are from is Atlanta and Suwanee Georgia, each with 5 players. I was surprised to find no players from Southeastern Tennessee, such as Chattanooga, as the furthest north player on this team is Von Bell (Rossville, GA). A map of where the players on this team are from can be found here https://imgur.com/gallery/y0UyfPh I have done this for 26 other teams. Seattle Seahawks Los Angeles Rams Arizona Cardinals Kansas City Chiefs Minnesota Vikings San Francisco 49ers Detroit Lions Denver Broncos Los Angeles Chargers Oakland Raiders Houston Texans Jacksonville Jaguars Tennessee Titans Indianapolis Colts Carolina Panthers Pittsburgh Steelers Green Bay Packers Baltimore Ravens Cleveland Browns Miami Dolphins New Orleans Saints Cincinnati Bengals Tampa Bay Buccaneers Washington Redskins Chicago Bears Philadelphia Eagles This was a long post because there are so many players from the area. Comment your thoughts on this team, and if there is any major player that I may have left off. If you would like to see a specific team next, comment your request here. After the Falcons, I will post the Patriots next, per other user's requests.
2020.04.28 16:22 GreekSymmetricsGIGA BLACKPILL: Im so sorry for indians
Copied from Looksmax: Mean lean muscle mass (kg) black males = 65.6kg White males = 62 kg Hispanic males = 59.9 kg Asian males = 59.6 kg Indian males = 53.3 kg https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc... At any given body fat mass value, South Asians had significantly less lean mass than each of the three other groups after adjustment for age, height, humerus breadth, smoking status, physical activity, and diet. Aboriginal, Chinese, and European men had 3.42 kg [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.55–5.29], 3.01 kg (95% CI = 1.33–4.70), and 3.57 kg (95% CI = 1.82–5.33) more lean mass than South Asian men at a given total fat mass, respectively" Ethnic Variation in Fat and Lean Body Mass and the Association with Insulin Resistance https://academic.oup.com/jcem/ar... Asian Indians tend to have more abdominal adipose tissue, less lean body mass (LBM) and higher magnitude of insulin resistance (IR) despite falling in the normal range of body mass index (BMI) . The high value of waist hip ratio in Asian Indians may be due to less lean mass of the hips and greater fat at the levels of waist . Another study showed that Asian Indian men have low muscle mass and 30% more total body fat (BF) than other ethnic groups . Low lean mass is also evident in Asian Indian neonates as compared to white Caucasian neonates . http://journals.plos.org/plosone... The lung capacity of Indians is 30 per cent lower than North Americans or Europeans or Chinese, making them highly vulnerable to diabetes, heart attacks or strokes, says a top scientist. http://www.dailypioneer.com/toda... "Asian Indians had more fat, both total and in the abdominal region, with less lean mass, skeletal muscle and bone mineral than all other ethnic groups" Body size, body composition and fat distribution: comparative analysis of European, Maori, Pacific Island and Asian Indian adults. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub... "Asian Indians have different body phenotype from Europeans (36). The major differences are in high body fat, high truncal, subcutaneous and intra-abdominal fat, and low muscle mass." Ethnicity and type 2 diabetes in Asian Indian migrants in Auckland, New Zealand (PDF Download Available). Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/public....nd_New_Zealand [accessed Dec 18 2017]. "In particular, there is accumulating evidence that South Asians may have a 'low fitness' phenotype which contributes to their elevated cardio-metabolic risk, and thus may particularly benefit from undertaking higher levels of physical activity " https://www.researchgate.net/figure....outh-Asian-men In South Asians, a unique obesity phenotype of high abdominal fat is associated with increased cardiovascular risk http://www.sciencedirect.com/science...11335515001308 Studies in the South Asian diaspora residing in the U.K. during the early 1980s suggested the possibility of an Asian Indian or South Asian phenotype (Fig. 1). This term refers to a combination of characteristics that predisposes SA to the development of insulin resistance, type 2 diabetes, and cardiovascular disease. http://diabetes.diabetesjournals... This is just devastating, getting mogged by white guys seems common, the same goes for black guys but getting mogged by asians (I DONT want to disgrace any asian guy, but it's just a well known fact that asian men arent known for their particular athleticism and strength) by 6,3KG of lean mass on AVERAGE is just brutal White guys dont even mog asians that bad But thats not everything, one study listed above even directly describes south asians as "low fitness phenotype", their cardiovascular system is weak, on average their stamina is incredible low and their lung capacity is 30% lower on average than on north american men This goes hand in hand with extremely bad insulin resistance and fat storage genetics, which why most indians will already torture themselves just to lose a little bit of weight if that wouldnt be bad enough, theres also the genotype pill https://forum.looksmaxxing.com/threads/brutal-the-genotype-pill-dont-bother-becoming-a-athlete-if-you.2612/#post-52175 TT genotype describes a weak genotype which results in mostly slow twitch fibers, lower testosterone levels, reduced maximum oxygen intake, stiff unflexible tendons etc. From the article: "It isn’t rare to have the TT genotype; roughly 18% of European Caucasians are TT, whilst up to 30% of Asians can have the TT genotype. In people of African descent, the T allele is rarer, and some research has reported that as little as 1% of certain African populations have the TT genotype." athleticism is 100% a result of a genetical privilege previously ive always believed that anyone can become the next ali or michael jordan if he trains hard enough ive always thought that i can become a quick and powerful martial arts fighter, or a parkour freeruner whos able to do the coolest backflips etc. or a explosive sprinter or basketball player if i just work hard enough it now all makes sense, my tendons were stiff since i can think, i was never able to perform a good jump, no matter how hard ive trained, i was never able to build up stamina, i was never able to perform a pushup without the feeling that my wrists are going to break my chad and tyrone classmates did things during sports which i could never dream of, the were all able to perform the craziest backflips, breakdance moves etc. and they never even trained for it while ive already broke my limbs just by looking at them My reflexes were also extremely slow, i was never able to slip a punch during boxing, even after years of training, it was like that others are living in a total other timezone, while for me the time was always going 2x faster running more than 50m was already impossible for me, during sports i was almost spitting blood just after a 5 min warmup during my teens ive saw all the chads and especially giga tyrones, doing show offs just for the girls they all had the physique of a literal bodybuilder, but they never counted their macros etc. orsomething like that, they never followed a special routine i had more knowledge about macros than them, despite the fact that i looked like a nobody next to their bodies i will never get pass this trauma, seeing 6'5+ gigachads and tyrones doing the sickest moves/exercises while i was sitting in my basement coping with videogames
2020.04.01 22:34 _darksoul89The disappearance of Ylenia Carrisi
(The article is translated from Italian, so please forgive any errors) Ylenia Carrisi was born in Rome in 1970, daughter of famous Italian singers Albano Carrisi and Romina Power, and granddaughter of American actor Tyrone Power. She appeared in Italian TV programmes such as La Ruota della Fortuna (The Wheel of Fortune), movies and recorded a song with her mother when she was 17. In July 1993, back in Rome after the first family holiday to New Orleans, she told her father that in October she would leave for Belize: she wanted to write a book on street artists and homeless people and that was the area from where they used to leave to go to New Orleans. Therefore she decided to take a break from her studies and sold all her belongings to pay for the trip. She left in October 1993 for Belize, where her brother Yari went to visit her on Christmas day, only to find she had left the day before for New Orleans. The last conversation Ylenia had with her family was on January 1st 1994. This phone call with her mother and other relatives seemed to be totally normal, unlike the one from the day before, which ended abruptly after an argument with her father. He was very upset by the fact that she was back in New Orleans, where about 6 months earlier she had met Aleksander Masakela, a street trumpet player whom her parents strongly distrusted that was also the first suspect after her disappearance. Ylenia and Masakela were staying in the same room at the LeDale Hotel, but he never reported her missing. Later he would declare that they had slept in separate beds and that Ylenia had refused to have sex with him, despite his insistence. He had criminal records for drugs and sexual abuse and he was known as a "guru". Ylenia seemed fascinated by him, so much that she reportedly referred to him as "my master" and stating he had given her "new intellectual perspectives". She was last seen at the hotel on 6/1/1994: the hotel owner, Cindee Dale, declared she saw her leaving around midday, leaving almost all her belongings (backpack, notes, passport, camera, luggage, clothes) and never came back. Masakela stayed at the hotel until 14 January, when he showed the hotel staff Ylenia's passport and tried to pay for the room using her traveller's cheques. That's when they called the police. Masakela initially declared that he did not to know where Ylenia was, but that he believed she was fine. Few weeks later, an ex girlfriend of his pressed charges on him for rape, prompting further investigations in his life. He was arrested on January 31st and released less than two weeks later for lack of evidence, only to disappear, leaving New Orleans. Ylenia's mother was always convinced that Masakela was responsible for her daughter's disappearance into a human trafficking ring. The testimony considered most believable was of one Albert Cordova, security guard at the Audubon Aquarium of the Americas, who reportedly saw a blonde girl jumping in the Mississippi river on 6/1/1994 at 11.30 pm. "She was sitting on the bank with her legs hanging. Pretty, blonde, between 18 and 24. She wore a dark jacket and a dress, and she looked really sad, depressed. That part of the park it's forbidden at night, so as soon as I saw her I told her that she couldn't stay there. She replied 'It doesn't matter. I belong to the water' and she jumped in the river. I screamed for her to come back, but she wasn't listening. She kept swimming towards the centre of the river, fearless. I called for an agent of the river police to help me and together we kept yelling at her to come back, to no avail. Suddenly, maybe because of a cramp caused by the cold, she began to struggle, asking for help. She went down once, twice. A passing boat caused some sort of a vortex. She sank again, this time she didn't emerged again. We looked for her for hours, with boats and helicopters, but we couldn't find her'. At first he identified the girl as the fifteen-year-old Brooke Susanne Javins from Morgantown (West Virginia), until she was found alive on January 28. The New Orleans Police Detective Ronald Brink then showed Cordova some recent pictures of Ylenia, which he immediately recognised as the drowned girl. This was never proved, as none of the bodies found in the Mississippi in the following months was identified as Ylenia's. Nonetheless, both the authorities and her own father believed Cordova's story. Albano stated that the sentence "I belonged to the water" was what convinced him, as Ylenia used to say it as a girl when she dived. The dynamic of the accident described by Cordova sounded familiar too. A few months earlier, Ylenia had risked her life jumping in the river under the effects of marijuana, but in this occasion, she made it alive. Albano also believed that drugs were behind her disappearance: during their first stay in New Orleans, Ylenia had suddenly ran from their hotel, screaming that he wanted to hurt her. That night she had a date with Masakela, whom she had met the night before. In 2011, an Italian TV show that talks about missing people revealed the testimony of a woman who had been victim of Masakela, who had kept her segregated away from her family. She described how she felt "under a spell" and she did not exclude the possibility of being drugged. She didn't know anything about Ylenia, apart from what was in the papers, but it wouldn't surprise her if she had been one of his victims. Another man who knew Masakela described him as "a coward, a violent man who would abuse and rape women, often after drugging them". Ylenia's mother and brother and most of their family believe she is still alive, considering Cordova's testimony unreliable. Her father, on the contrary, believes that she died in the river that day. In 2011 a German magazine published an interview with the New Orleans chief police, who declared that Ylenia was alive and living in Saint Anthony, a Greek-orthodox monastery in Phoenix, Arizona. This has been deemed by the family as one of many fake news released through the years by different sources, just to sell copies. According to Dennis Haley, a cold case detective, Canadian serial killer Keith Hunter Jesperson (known as Happy Face Killer) identified a picture of Ylenia as one of his victims: it was a never idenfied woman who went by the name Suzanne (name that Ylenia had used before), Suzy o Susan. He had allegedly attacked and killed her while hitchhiking near a gas station in Tampa. Authorities in Florida ordered a DNA test on the remains, but after receiving a sample from Ylenia's father, the test showed no match. On December 1st 2014, upon Albano's request, a court in Brindisi, Italy, released a certification of presumed death for Ylenia Carrisi. [Ylenia Carrisi ](http://